Timesizing® Associates
dooms du jour, Nov/1999
[Commentary] ©1999 Phil Hyde, The Timesizing Wire, Box 117, Harvard Sq, Cambridge MA 02238 USA (617) 623-8080
11/30/99 tue - 0 downsizings reported
11/21-22
Click here for dooms du jour in Oct/99.
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but 2 bankruptcies mentioned:
broke Sidanko unit Chernogorneft bought by Tyumen Oil for a song, thus wiping BP Amoco's $½b investment in Sidanko
Yale's bookstore busted
+ 13 takeovers reported, totaling $695m + $$undisclosed
+ 1 clunker -
judge lets would-be profiteering military contractor into Antarctic
vs. glimmers of hope -
physicians can finally start healing selves, get NLRB to let interns unionize to cut their notoriously long workweeks
<<< ½YTD totals: 238 dnsz (330,751 jobcuts +?) + 1072 takov ($1027.1B+)
vs. 40 upsz (40,760 {12%} +?) + 46 untakov ($189.2B+?) >>>
9 downsizings reported this week (over 7650 jobs gone)
39 takeovers reported (valued at $26.3B+)
1 bankruptcy mentioned (tue): Holzmann in Germany
vs. 1 UPsizing (500 new jobs) & 2 UNtakeovers ($135.733B)
<<<½YTD totals: 238 dnsz (330,751+ jobcuts/12%) & 1058 takov ($1022.1B+)
vs. 40 upsz (40,760+ new jobs) & 46 untk ($189.2B+)>>>
+ 1 Sunday takeover reported: Redback gulps Siara for $4.3B
vs. glimmers of hope:
500 organizations in Seattle protest near-sighted WTO
Wisconsin paperboard union protests corporate push to bring 12-hour shifts back from the dead
+ New Features menu: Phil Hyde challenges Ted Kennedy in Y2K Senate race on shorter hrs platform
Timesizing.com, "Timesizing Not Downsizing," now political party devoted to trimming the workweek
goodnews split in three: regular, high test & transition
half-year to date totals - see above <<<>>>
site decolorized for visually impaired
opus errata online
+ 6 takeovers reported, totaling $16B + $undisclosed
+ 2 clunkers - US about to approve Exxon-Mobil merger &
Calif. already hurting from high gas prices, low oilco. competition
vs. glimmers of hope:
personal incomes rose in Oct., but inflated by bonuses & subsidies (& top execs?)
Hong Kong grew 4.5% in Q3, but caught in deflationary spiral (but had world's highest prices)
1 UPsizing - IBM to hire 500 sales staff, but just laid off 1100 marketers
<<< ½YTD totals: 238 dnsz (330,751 jobcuts +?) + 1058 takov ($1.022T+$?)
vs. 40 upsz (40,760 {12%} +?) + 46 untakov ($189.223B+?) >>>
1 clunker - Germany's consensus economy shakin' from 1-2 punch: Vodafone's hostile bid for Mannesmann (but if France could stonewall Coke...) Holzmann's flirtation with bankruptcy
vs. glimmers of hope:
Japan experiencing a bracing gust of ESL (English as Second Language)
Philly's Back Home Cafe models how we can anchor the excluded back in the job market
<<< ½YTD totals: 237 dnsz (327,451 jobcuts +?) + 1052 takov ($1.006T+$?)
vs. 39 upsz (40,260 {12%} +?) + 46 untakov ($189.223B+?) >>>
overall 900 jobs lost as Goodyear finishes shutting down its tire plant in Italy
Ford itches to apply suicidal efficiency to its luxury-car sales operations
+ 7 takeovers reported, totaling $883m + $$undisclosed
vs. glimmers of hope:
Stiglitz quits World Bank, uncorks scorn for conventional nostrums for poor nations
1 UNtakeover: France vetoes Coke's $733m bid for Orangina
<<<½YTD totals: 237 dnsz (327,451 jobcuts +?) + 1052 takov ($1.006T+$?)
vs. 39 upsz (40,260 {12%} +?) + 46 untakov ($189.223B+?)>>>
11% cut (3,000 jobs) dragged across 13 demoralizing months as KeyCorp lurches to yet another "strategic" initiative to cut costs, instead of doing an 11% workweek cut (to 35.6 hrs) & keeping everyone earning & banking normally
5% staff cut (350 fatalities) hemmorrhaging for 9 depressed months as Hillenbrand holdings forces Hill-Rom medicos to do their own paperwork, vs. a 5% hours trim & everyone stays, pulling together
unspecified cuts as Cole National closes 150 optical depts. in Montgomery Ward stores
+ 9 takeovers reported, totaling $3.5b + $$undisclosed
<<<½YTD totals: 235 dnsz (326,551 jobcuts +?) + 1045 takov ($1.005T+$?)
vs. 39 upsz (40,260 {12%} +?) + 45 untakov ($188.49B+?)>>>
vs. glimmers of hope:
French economy humming - fastest growth in Europe - due to shorter workweek?
Compaq starts granting stock beyond management to all 68,000 employees, 200 options apiece
½% workforce cut (100 jobs) in software division as IBM does 3rd round of layoffs in 6 wks, instead of just ½% workweek cut (to 39.8 hrs) & keeping everyone working & spending normally
?? cuts as Hollywood Pk sells only assets of 2 Missip. casinos to Pinn National Gaming
unspecified cuts as Tufts Health Plan pulls out of Maine, N.H., R.I.
+ 17 takeovers reported, totaling $5.9b + $$undisclosed
+ 1 bankruptcy mentioned - German govt cools on $2½B bailout of big builder Holzmann
<<<½YTD totals: 232dnsz (323,201 jobcuts +?) + 1036 takov ($1.002T +$?)
vs. 39 upsz (40,260 +?) + 45 untakov ($188.49B+?)>>>
vs. glimmers of hope:
Times reader thinks French health secret includes short workweek, long vacation & national health insurance, as well as great food
1 UNtakeover - Mannesmann employees oppose Vodafone's new $135B hostile bid
15 downsizings reported this week (over 37,865+ jobs gone)
59 takeovers reported (valued at $26B+)
1 bankruptcy mentioned (tue): Crown Bks emerging
1 work-related suicide (sat): Kim Jansen, COO of: Atlantic Monthly, US News, Fast Co.
vs. 2 upsizings (? new jobs) & 1 untakeover ($?)
<<<½YTD reports: 229D (323,101 jobcuts +?) + 1019T ($995.8B +$?)
vs. 39 upsz (40,260 +?) + 44 untk ($53.49B+?)>>>
+ clunkers: top 325 have more than ½ Earth population (average less than $2/hr)
GOP go seriously suicidal: offer handgun as raffle prize in Md.
vs. glimmers of hope:
"Crime" in Denmark
+ NEW FEATURES roundup: Phil Hyde to challenge Ted Kennedy in 2000
Timesizing.com, "Timesizing Not Downsizing," now political party devoted to trimming the workweek
goodnews split in 3: regular, high test & transition
site decolorized for visually impaired
opus errata online
6,000 jobs to go over next 2 yrs as Canada's biggest bank (the Royal) reacts perversely to rising earnings, vs. just trimming hours, not pay, to centrifuge spending power & boost flagging economy
400 employees tossed up in the air as GM sells financial holding, assets-only, to Arthur Andersen - all 400 will be "given opportunity" to transfer
+ 7 takeovers reported, totaling $473m + $$undisclosed
+ 1 work-related suicide?
+ clunkers:
U.S. now meddling in Caspian
NYT ed observer now whining re soc sec integrity
vs. glimmers of hope:
Gen. Acctg. Office slams White House for inadequate hedge-fund protections
Senate approves budget pkg but breaks spending limits
Economist Mag admits puzzled by US economy
Boston, Mass. fluke - mfg wages up bigtime, jobs up slightly, but = only 5% of all jobs & return to losses projected
1 UNtakeover - Ocean Spray drops urge to merge
10% workforce cut as Newbridge Networks in Canada overreacts to poor results, instead of just doing a 10% workweek cut (to 36 hrs), keeping everyone employed & spending normally
+ 13 takeovers reported, totaling $4¼B + $$undisclosed
+ clunkers:
trade gap still growing - now record $24.4B
stock swindlers abounding
living wage campaigns broaden to list of demands, verge on relearning advantage of all-in-one demand: enforce and lower maximum hours
vs. glimmers of hope:
U.S. afraid of indirectly funding the crushing of Chechen democracy
Mass. Lt. Gov. Jane Swift announces $13m plan state workers to telecommute, jobshare & take family time off
US House bans 'cybersquatters'
1 UNtakeover - Global Industries drops purchase of Groupe GTM's offshore bldg unit
NEW FEATURE - Timesizing.com Party (code M) now listed on our political links page
5 downsizings reported, totaling 22,200 jobs lost + unspecified:
9.4% workforce cut (sayonara to 21,000) as NTT in Japan abreacts to shrinking sales & forced pricecuts, instead of a 9.4% workweek cut (to 36¼-hrs/wk), keeping all jobs & maintaining their greatest national treasure, their independence-supporting domestic consumer base
700 employees to go as Dow AgroSciences fights "the downturn in the U.S. farm economy"?!
3.5% staff cut (500 jobs) as Kennametal shrinks operations & maximizes damage of declining earnings, instead of 3.5% hours&pay cut (to 38.6/wk) & everyone stays employed & spending almost normally
unspecified jobs lost as Fintube and American Gaming & Electronics have their "assets acquired" (but not their employees)
+ 10 more takeovers reported, totaling $1.66B + $$undisclosed
+ clunkers:
need for skills falling on wrong people
stock market splitting further between tech blimp & all the rest - like American society
Y2K cost put at $1/day/person for a year
vs. glimmers of hope: konfessions of a konservative
a small example of timesizing at EBay
NYT readers say "Physician, heal thyself - of megahours"
IRS workers get tables turned on them by Treasury agents
4 downsizings reported, totaling 5605 jobs + unspecified:
10% workforce cut (2500 jobless) as Quest Diagnostics shutters/shrinks labs after taking over SmithKline Beecham's in Aug., instead of 10% workweek cut (36-hrs), keeping everyone employed & maintaining their (& economy's) consumer base
5% staff cut (500 people trashed) after Sept. consolidation of Crompton&Knowles with Witco into CK Witco food&drug additives, instead of 5% hours cut (38-hr wk) & all keep working & food shopping
33% cut (85 humans) as Azurix (a "water co."??) misses earnings estimates, vs. 33% hours&pay cut for all to minimize jolt
20 employees cut due to seasonal sales at Fresh Samantha in Maine - so they gonna rehire them (if they're still there) in spring? - what chumps!
+ 10 takeovers reported, totaling $12.7B + $$undisclosed
+ prisonwatch: latest data show black percentage on death row (43%) is 3 times percentage in general population - we can make it much much easier to earn an honest living
+ clunkers:
Clinton makes devil's own bargain to get GOP to pay our UN dues
Mass. becoming dependent on poor immigrant workers - new slave economy?
"Looking for a company with a solid customer base?" - ominous fullpage ad
new Internet freedoms force us to relearn many old lessons
ever-bigger ships, ever-bigger trucks, ever-smaller brains
vs. glimmers of hope: mgmt guru turns 90 - Drucker "still preaches" customers over profits (perhaps short-term tiresome - but long-term true)
Dow's newest member, lawsuit-clouded Microsoft, unthroned by oldest member, GE
2 UPsizings - by 2003, Marriott to add 1000 hotels - by 2002, Sonus Networks to open 7 offices (but quick downsizings & slow upsizings build lethal lag in consumer spending)
35% staff cut at New York's GT Interactive videogames in May surfaces today as "Deer Hunter" risks "Total Annihilation" via takeover by Infogrames of Paris
+ 1 bankruptcy mentioned: Crown Books Corp. emergeth
+ 17 takeovers reported, totaling $5.12b + $$undisclosed
+ prisonwatch: Massachusetts inmates allege reign of terror
+ clunkers: Russia seeks $12B debt forgiveness - a mere bagatelle
lobbying getting worse in DC
high tech companies whine about skill shortage - can they spell T-R-A-I-N-I-N-G?
vs. glimmers of hope: NYT reader nails the flat tax
NEW FEATURES - Good news distilled & split into market reinvestment & adjustable workweek pages
8 downsizings reported this week (over 9319 jobs gone)
1 bankruptcy mentioned (sat): Filene's Basement
47 takeovers reported (totaling $13.6b + $undisclosed)
vs. 5 upsizings (650 new jobs +?) & 4 untakeovers ($13.26 +$?)
<<<½YTD reports: 214D (285,236 jobcuts +?) + 960T ($969.81B +$?)
vs. 37 upsz (40,260 +?) + 43 untk ($53.49B+?)>>>
+ 2 weekend takeover reports, totaling $1.8b + $undisclosed
+ 1 weekend downsizing report: 60 jobs "moved" as Ogilvy & Mather Worldwide advertising closes Houston office
vs. glimmers of hope:
New feature! - for the visually impaired, we are decolorizing our website
Chainsaw Dunlap finally gets dumped on in new biography
Big step vs. overpop - reversible sterilization for women
16% workforce cut (3000 jobs) as Adtranz (train mfg) overreacts to declining sales & red ink by closing 6 factories across Europe & US, instead of just doing 16% workweek cut (to 33.6-hr wk) as VW did & everyone stays employed & ridin' the train
23% staff cut (900 jobs) as Filene's Basement plans to emerge from Ch.11 by self-amputation, cutting nearly ½ its 40 stores, instead of just a 23% hours cut (to 30.8 hrs/wk) & keeping everyone working & shopping
= 1 bankruptcy mentioned (Filene's Basement)
+ 7 takeovers reported, totaling $493m + $$undisclosed
vs. glimmers of hope:
big increases in productivity (but small increases in wages = setup for depression)
2 UPsizings: ¤ Emerson College ¤ Brown Rudnick Freed & Gesmer
3 ANTI-takeovers: ¤ Datum-Frequency Electronics ($58m) ¤ NTL- C&W Comm units ($13.2b) ¤ MCI Worldcom-Sprint ($?)
25+? jobcuts as Sight Resource Corp. closes 2 mfg labs & 3 stores "to cut costs" (& morale & a modicum of own market) instead of maintaining jobs & markets by trimming hours & pay for all
"undecided" jobcuts as IMC Global overreacts to disappointing earnings by shuttering 2d & 3d plants & furloughing others, instead of "all sacrifice together, starting at the top" (like Lincoln Electric & Nucor)
+ 12 takeovers reported on the 12th, totaling $3B + $$undisclosed
vs. glimmers of hope:
2 UPsizings: Boeing to build $250m launching complex at Canaveral, & Starbucks to open more than 100 coffeebars in Albertson's stores
1 ANTI-takeover: Mannesmann bulks up vs. possible hostile bid by Vodafone
1.5% workforce cut (1,000 jobs) as NorTel "reduces overlap" & contracts out more business, instead of an unnoticeable 1.5% workweek cut (to 39.4 hr/wk) & everyone stays working & buying new phones
11% cut in HQ staff &...sales & mktg?! (200 jobs total) as Avid Technology tries to save money by cutting its revenues, instead of an 11% hours & pay cut for all (including insulated top execs) & keeping everyone earning & spending normally (e.g., on digital entertainment)
0.5% workforce cut (194 jobs) as the Fleming Cos. grocery wholesalers consolidates distribution centers in Texas, instead of 0.5% workweek cut (39.8-hr wk) & everyone carries on
+ 6 takeovers reported, totaling $473m + $$undisclosed
vs. glimmer of the real solution:
front-business-page NY Times coverage of 35-hour workweek in France!
+ 2 clunkers:
despite giant hedge-fund collapse last year that our fool Fed walked into (where angels feared to tread), gov't regulators wimp out & let the derivatives 'rodeo' rip outa control
déjà vu - US occupation ends & Haiti trembles - how about they join up with the new Québec?
Baron Samedi meets Bonhomme Carnival? It's a WINNER!
vs. 8 glimmers of hope:
new president offers west Indonesia a freedom referendum
IMF director resigns midterm
slightly fewer jobless Germans (but E-W gap still wider)
Fortune 500 has new African American CEO, Avis' Barry Rand
voter confidence drains away from House GOP
NY gov has plan to halt emptying of mental centers
Trump proposes one-time 14¼%tax on net worth of people & trusts with $10m or more (but we'd have to give up inheritance taxes forever)
Delaware judge blocks stock ripoff by top executives of Computer Associates
+ 3 deathwish "leaders":
babybrain Bush's great pollution cure - self-policing
another zillionaire's spur of moment gratitute - gives megabucks to world's richest tech institute
CEO Robert Ayling of ailing British Air's great rescue plan - cut seats & mkt share (& own throat)
vs. glimmers of hope:
press releases fly for 1st 'dot-com' political party - championing shorter hours for new millennium
1 UPsizing - 650 new jobs as Dell Computer builds 2nd factory near Nashville
13 downsizings reported this week (over 15,428 jobs gone)
2 bankruptcy mentions (both thu): member protections evoked by healthcare bankruptcies, e.g., Lenox Healthcare
44 takeovers reported (valued at $96.96B!)
vs. 2 upsizings (5000 new jobs +?) & 3 untakeovers ($27m +$?)
<<<½YTD reports: 206D (275,917 jobcuts +?) + 913T ($956.21B +$?)
vs. 32 upsz (39,610 +?) + 39 untk ($40.23B+?)>>>
+ 2 takeovers reported Monday ($??)
+ prisonwatch - zero tolerance moves inside NYC jails
+ 2 other clunkers: Boston Globe finally nails dearth of training
USA Today cites skill shortage & firms' quest for female employees to save on pay
vs. 6 glimmers of hope:
Time Mag starts series on new century - questions & visions
UN wises up re late US dues, "Pay up, or no voting rights or contracts"
NY wises up re lawmakers' lateness with state budget, "Delayed budget delays your pay"
2 Dem candidates focus on shorter hours prereq - job-independent health plans
labor forces worldwide labor standards on Clinton ahead of WTO meet
Aussies keep Canucks company - vote to keep Queen
+ "daily 8" takeovers reported (4th day in a row), today totalling $2.73B + $undisclosed
vs. 6 glimmers of hope:
Microsoft gets busted
WTO members start seeing through fatal free trade fad?
Canuck joblessness down Congress relaxes Medicare cuts
1 UPsizing: Best Buy to open 3 New England stores
1 UNtakeover: Tenneco spins off Pactiv (but Tues' Tarmac untakeover reversed today)
9000 jobs vanish as Dole Food shuts down banana production in Nicaragua & Venezuela & distribution capacity in Europe due to Hurricane Mitch & weak European sales
300 jobcuts as 2d-biggest Coke bottler scrunches 8 divisions into 6
4½% cut in server workforce as IBM confirms mainframe customers' fears about buying pre-Y2K computers, instead of stockpiling for post-New Year's flood of orders, or maintaining team spirit with 4½% cut in server workweek & keeping everyone employed through the holidays
unspecified jobcuts as Warner-Lambert gets gobbled by American Home - or will it be Pfizer?
unspecified jobcuts as Fruit of the Loom eliminates 1000 products & mulls closing plants
+ 8 more takeovers reported, totalling $18.4B + $undisclosed
+ 1 clunker: European Central Bank raises rates for the 11 EC economies
vs. 3 glimmers of hope:
10-year anniversary of Fall of Berlin Wall (but Ossie-Wessie mistrust lives on)
now freedom regained in east Indonesia (East Timor), 50,000 rally for freedom in west Indonesia (Aceh)
Fortune 500 gets 4th female CEO - Andrea Jung of Avon Products
8% workforce cut (175 jobs) as Donna Karan fashions closes 7 outlet stores & consolidates divisions, instead of just 8% workweek cut (36.8 hrs/wk) & everyone keeps buying clothes
70 jobcuts as General Binding shuts Auburn, Mich. plant after a Q3 loss
+ 2 bankruptcy mentions:
Lenox Healthcare nsg homes goes Ch.11
Mass. House passes bill to protect mbrs when HMOs go bust
+ 8 more takeovers reported, totalling + $undisclosed
+ 1 chunka bad news, but...: deathwish GOP leadership blocks patients' rights, but splits party
vs. 5+1 glimmers of hope:
Washington FINALLY enforces Clean Air Act against acid rain makers
Mass. House sets matching funds for land preservation
San Fran voters ban ATM fees
Nasdaq finishes over 3,000 for 1st time, but fragile
2 UNtakeovers - Ashanti Gold vs. Lonmin, & Fletcher Challenge/Canada vs. New Zealand parent
15% workforce cut (1500 jobs) as AmeriServe Food cuts costs the traumatic way, instead of just nicking their workweek 15% (34 hrs/wk) & everyone keeps eating out
15% HQ staff slimming (26 jobs) plus 77 other jobs round the country as Jenny Craig goes bulemic & sheds 86 weight-loss centers, instead of all trimming a bit together & staying on hand for recovery
+ 8 takeovers reported, totalling $250m + $$$undisclosed
vs. glimmers of hope - 1 UPsizing & 1 UNtakeover:
Nortel to create 5000 fiberoptic jobs round world
Production One of Calif. cancels $27m sale of its Canuck operations to Edmonton-based Voxcom
+ 9 takeovers reported, totalling $882m + $undisclosed
vs. glimmers of hope:
2 "coming to their senses" - Brit biznez vs. euro, RealNetworks vs. invading customers' privacy
2 UNbankruptcies: Leowen Group, ICO Global
1 UNtakeover: Tarmac (but reversed 4 days later)
record 14 downsizings reported this week (over 32,200 jobs gone)
4 bankruptcies mentioned: Harvard Pilgrim/RI, Mactell, Nikko Electric, American Family Enterprises
43 takeovers reported (valued at over $19B)
vs. 4 upsizings (2035 new jobs +?) & 3 untakeovers ($4.4b +$?)
<<<½YTD reports: 193D (260,489 jobcuts +?) + 869T ($860.25B +$?)
vs. 30 upsz (34,610 +?) + 36 untk ($40.2B+?)>>>
+ 3 Halloween Sunday takeovers reported, totalling$3.3b + $?? (to be counted next week)
vs. glimmers of hope - some great NYT letters & op eds, 3 samples:
latest Congressional intrusion (vs. states rights & death with dignity) perpetrated by same elected servants who claim to be getting big government off our backs
Safire said test ban should be swept under carpet, but reader says should be an issue for the people to decide
Safire redeems self by slinging soundbytes vs. new insurer-banker-broker blender
Click here for dooms du jour in Sept/99.
Click here for dooms du jour in Aug-July/99.
Click here for dooms du jour in Jun-May/99.
Click here for dooms du jour in before Apr.30/99.
For more details, see our laypersons' guide Timesizing, Not Downsizing, which is available online from *Amazon.com and at bookstores in Harvard and Porter Squares, Cambridge, Mass.