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Timesizing News, August 1-15, 2001
[Commentary] ©2001 Phil Hyde, The Timesizing Wire, Box 117, Harvard Sq, Cambridge MA 02238 USA 617-623-8080


8/15/2001  glimmers of timesizing -

  1. Mattson Technology Inc. announces second quarter results, Business Wire BW0558 AUG 14,2001 17:44 EASTERN via AOLNews.
    ...A leading supplier of advanced process equipment used to manufacture semiconductors [yester]day announced financial results for the second quarter of 2001.... The Company recorded a net loss...of $27.1m.... Brad Mattson, CEO...stated, "We, similar to other semiconductor equipment suppliers, have experienced a significant decline, not only in shipments but also in bookings...as a result of the economic downturn experienced by our customers. This contraction has hit us especially hard since we recently acquired substantial production facilities as part of our merger with CFM and STEAG....
    [Again the fatal takeover-contraction connection.]
    We have already taken several actions so far in Q2 and into Q3 to reduce expenses and improve efficiency, including consolidating facilities, reducing materials costs, reducing executive pay, implementing shortened workweeks and reducing headcount. We implemented a reduction in force in May, releasing approximately 180 employees. This was in addition to previous reductions in contract and temporary employees."...
    [Presumably there'd have been more "releases" if they hadn't shortened workweeks. Unfortunately, no details on the shortened workweeks are given. Note the euphemisms in use here for throwing people out of work and income - "reduction in force," "releasing employees." Kinda reminds you of "body count", etc. during the Vietnam War. Mattson also cut workweeks last quarter as we reported on 5/09. And once again, Mattson gives their contact person as Ludger Viefhues at 510-657-5900 so shorter-hours researchers can phone him for the deets.]

  2. Korea to introduce 5-day workweek in 2002 - minister, Reuters 05:07 08-14-01 via AOLNews.
    South Korea's Labour Minister said on Tuesday large-sized companies and public sector firms would begin introducing a five-day workweek from next year. But it would take about five years for small companies to shorten their workweek, Minister Kim Ho-jin told reporters. Most of South Korean companies currently have a six-day workweek.
    [Or to be more accurate, which the media seem to have difficulty doing when it comes to worktime, a 5½-day workweek currently, because they work half days on Saturday. But look at the grinding difficulty of this process - FIVE YEARS for small companies to shorten their workweek four hours! At least the government ("public sector") is leading from the front in South Korea instead of leading from behind as in France, where the gov't did not implement the 35-hour week along with big companies last year. The French gov't granted itself the same reprieve they granted small companies - next-year implementation. That's gotta have hurt large-company morale and implementation.]
    "The government is discussing the issue with...labour and...management," said Kim. "Given many advantages, large companies and public-sector firms will be able to begin the shorter workweek in 2002."
    [And this is only the FORTY hour workweek we're talking about here! Welcome to 1940, South Korea!]
    Unionised workers have demanded the government cut the workweek to 40 hours from the current 44 hours, while management has contended it is too early to...cut work hours given the weakness of the country's economy.
    [Management everywhere is too stupid to realize that "the weakness of the country's economy" is BECAUSE OF an obsoletely long workweek. You can't introduce worksaving technology and take the savings in unemployment and underemployment without cutting your own markets. When will CEOs wake up and smell the coffee? CEO Edward Filene of Boston realized it nearly 70 years ago and wrote a book about it in 1932, "Successful Living in this Machine Age." Here's what he said on page 1 of the US edition, "Mass production is...based upon a clear understanding that increased production demands increased buying.... For selfish business reasons, therefore, genuine mass production industries must make prices lower and lower, and wages higher and higher, while constantly shortening the workday and bringing to the masses not only more money but more time in which to use and enjoy the ever-increasing volume of industrial products." (See our bibliography page.) This isn't rocket science. We've been doing this for the last 200 years. But our media don't report on it, and our business schools don't teach it, even though it is the most important thing we could and should be doing. And we call ourselves "an intelligent species"? We're dumb as 2x4.
    [And look how apologetic Korea's labor minister is about this -]
    "I personally welcome the shorter workweek because it is expected to create new jobs catering to weekend leisure industries," Kim said.
    [In other words, he feels he can't officially welcome it because he has to keep his channels open to management, so he tries to slip in a plug on the personal level. Evidently, South Korea has the same kind of problem Americans have with fear of idleness - "The devil finds work for idle hands to do." Not any more! That's why God created leisure industries.]
    ...The seasonally unadjusted jobless rate was 4.1% in 2000.
    [Two things - (A) Both South Korea and Japan seem to have the kind of sensitivity to unemployment that the US had in the 1940s when anything over 2% unemployment was viewed as problematic. Good for them - the US has lost it, now congratulating itself for anything below 6%, the supposed NAIRU (non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) of a suicidal Federal Reserve. (B) Why on earth would you ever have to "seasonally adjust" an annual rate?]

8/14/2001  glimmers of timesizing - 8/09/2001  glimmers of timesizing - 8/8/2001  glimmers of timesizing - 8/05/2001  weekend glimmers of timesizing - 8/04/2001  glimmers of timesizing - 8/03/2001  glimmers of timesizing - 8/01/2001  glimmers of timesizing -
  1. French jobless rate rises to 8.8 pct in June, by Joelle Diderich, Reuters 04:46 07-31-01 via AOLNews.
    ...from 8.7% in May, its first monthly rise in almost three years, indicating the euro zone's second largest economy is struggling amid a U.S.-led global economic slowdown.... Brisk economic growth has helped France trim dole queues [US: "welfare lines"] almost continuously since June 1997, when the Socialist-led government inherited a 12.6% jobless rate.
    However a rash of corporate lay-offs has intensified public concern that the global downturn could trigger a recession in France, until now the euro zone's star performer.... Analysts nonetheless expressed confidence that the job market could soak up some of the damage, pointing to resilient job growth in sectors like services and to the positive impact of the introduction of a shorter working week....
    [Note today's NYT version of this story completely avoids mention of the shorter working week, whether on instructions from top editors or just time blindness. The story, "France: Unemployment rises," by John Tagliabue, NYT, W1 contains these sentences, "It had hovered at 8.7% for the previous four months. [meaning May, Apr, Mar, Feb. So February's UE rate must have been adjusted down to 8.7%.] This was the first rise in French unemployment since August 1998, as companies, which were encouraged to hire in recent years by an expanding economy, lay off workers in response to falling demand for goods and services, notably abroad." A magical "expanding economy" - with no mention of the sharing of the fixed or diminishing lump of labor via a workweek reduction and the resulting reversal of the concentration of income. Even the Reuters article quotes a time-clueless economist -]
    "I don't have a good feeling about the French economy's momentum as it seems to be losing speed rapidly and more quickly than expected," said Patrick Mange, senior euro zone economist at Merrill Lynch. "If consumers begin saving, this would mean that the added revenue generated by tax cuts [no mention of workweek reduction?!] will be diverted into saving rather than consumption. I imagine the government is not feeling very comfortable," he said....
    [Well, a contractor colleage of colleague Kate has heard that the government is already thinking about a 32-hour workweek, which would continue the "French miracle." Hopefully we will pick up something from AOLNews on this.]

  2. Michelin slashes target, poor markets to persist, by Tom Pfeiffer (in London?) with additional reporting by Veronique Tison in Paris, Reuters 05:16 07-31-01 via AOLNews.
    ..."This is worse than expected and the guidance [i.e., company reports] is also lower than we would have thought," said Jim Collins, an analyst at UBS Warburg in London.
    [US and UK economists are the only timeblind observers. They also exist right in France.]
    Net profit was boosted by the 282m exceptional gain, which included profit from the sale of its 2.8% stake in PSA Peugeot Citroen, less charges linked to the French 35-hour working week law and a fine from the European Commission....
    [So here we have Michelin in the French auto industry trying to act like a little American company and talk only about the negative impact of a shorter working week, in contrast to the article above. And never mind the additional domestic demand generated by the shorter workweek that has so far largely inoculated France from the downturn - by contrast with Germany whose purely workyear reduction policies are simply not powerful or flexible enough to generate the recession-proofing effects that France has been enjoying. And speaking of Deutschland -]

  3. Interview - German employers seek labour market reform, by Gernot Heller, Reuters 14:51 07-31-01 via AOLNews.
    BERLIN...- A leading member of Germany's BDA [??] employers group called on the government on Tuesday to reform the labour market in the face of expected lay-offs because of the economic slowdown. Christoph Kannengiesser [i.e., cannongooser? (-fodder?)], managing director of the BDA and chairman of Germany's Federal Labour Office, told Reuters in an interview that more flexibility was needed and a programme of tax reform should be speeded up.
    [No mention yet of reversing the concentration of work and income.]
    But he did not expect major job losses in Germany, despite announcements by top German firms, including chipmaker Infineon AG and Dresdner Bank that they would cut their workforces....
    [You wish, Christoph!]
    After two years in which unemployment fell consistently, the number of people out of work in Germany has climbed for the past six consecutive months to stand at 3.85m in June, putting Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder under pressure ahead of a general election next year. Schroeder has said his government would "not deserve to be re-elected" in 2002 if it did not cut the jobless level significantly.
    [Same goal as Jospin in France, but Jospin hit on the obvious and commonsense solution - workweek reduction to share the limited and possibly diminishing employment - and delivered bigtime. Schroeder, by contrast, despite his rhetoric and his rap about a Third Way in economics, has been treading water and getting swept out to sea with the rushing tides of technological disemployment and downsizing. But our boy Kannengiesser is hanging in there -]
    Kannengiesser said Schroeder's goal was still possible.... He wanted the government to stick to its goal of cutting unit wage costs...
    [Brilliant - that will only choke off domestic demand.]
    and urged it to bring forward tax reform....
    [probably meaning cutting or flattening taxes in the income-concentrating, circulation-strangling American definition.]
    and get rid of a tax on fuels....
    [Well, in general, we agree there should be no sales taxes because they have no effect on dynamism-dampening income concentration, and they do have the dynamism-dampening effect of encumbering transactions. However, if the fuel tax revenues were being channelled into sustainable energy development, Kannengiesser is short-sighted and off the mark.]
    Kannengiesser said he doubted that any reforms of the jobs market would come soon but he hoped Schroeder realised the need for change.
    [All Schroeder has to do is look over at the French model and behold all the added labor market flexibility that accompanied the four-hour workweek reduction. But Kannengiesser is totally clueless on the work-sharing/income-spreading front -]
    Kannengiesser said continued moderation in wage demands would do much to help boost the labour market but that shorter working hours, as sought by the German trade union federation DGB, were not a realistic option given the current rise in unemployment....
    [Boy has he got his head screwed on backwards. How about they raise the German workweek then, and see what that does for rising unemployment?! "None are so blind, as those that cannot see."]

  4. German "wise man" calls for moderate wage increases, Reuters 05:02 07-31-01 via AOLNews.
    BERLIN...- A senior adviser to the government said on Tuesday German unions should accept pay increases below the rise in productivity as fears grow that wage costs will rise in Europe's largest economy....
    [What guarantee do they have that productivity isn't, as usual, being grossly undercounted?]
    "Real wages ought to increase less than productivity, because otherwise no additional jobs will be created"..\..Wolfgang Wiegard, one of a panel of five government advisers dubbed the "wise men," said in an interview with Bild newspaper....
    [Oh really? Then who buys the extra productivity, extraterrestrials?]
    Fears of wage inflation have mounted in Germany after the government said it was considering legislation to limit overtime and a top trade unionist warned of an end to wage restraint. We could intervene and, for example, place legal limits on overtime," Peter Struck, parliamentary leader of the ruling Social Democrats, said on Saturday.
    [A definition of share per person - e.g., of natural, market-demanded employment - is absolutely essential to every sustainable game. That's why every sports league resets "games won" by every team back to zero at the beginning of every season. And the only thing that's been doing that recently on a worldwide scale in economics has been war. France has begun to do it on a merely nationwide scale by more strictly defining employment per person per time unit, but their design is still inflexible and arbitrary, as compared to flexible adjustment of the workweek against unemployment. So Peter has "Struck" upon a crucial component for the sustainability of the economic "game." But check out the raging reaction of shortsighted German businessmen -]
    At a time when many top German firms, including chipmaker Infineon AG and Dresdner Bank AG have announced heavy layoffs and many economists have slashed domestic growth forecasts, industry leaders denounced the suggestion as "economic nonsense."
    [Apparently they want all the cards - never mind if it shuts down the game. And never mind the economic prosperity exactly this overtime-limiting strategy has brought about in France. "Don't bother us with facts, our mind's made up!"]
    If the government decides to go through with its suggestion and limit overtime it will raise wage costs in Germany at a time when the domestic and international economic climate looks increasingly precarious, employers say.
    [How about the costs of employers' own salaries and stock options and perks? Oh, they don't count? They're excluded from the discussion? Says who? The whole reason for the precarious domestic and international economic climate is the fact that labor is so weak it cannot stop employers from taking such a large share of income that it's suctioning the markets away from its own investments. "The more concentration, the less circulation." Keep overall wage costs the same but spread employers' unspendable excess out to employees who actually spend it and maintain domestic demand.]
    The chief economist of Germany's DIW economic research institute, which forecasts German growth of only one percent this year, said the government's overtime proposal was a "non-starter."
    [That's exactly what chief economists said about the French government's proposal to cut the workweek from 39 to 35 hrs/wk four years ago. Mainstream economists have a huge blindspot right in the middle of their thinking. They ignore worktime as an economic variable, let alone a control variable, let alone the control variable.]
    "The one thing that would help is really a long-lasting upswing with growth rates in the region of around three percent. Only such an upswing would encourage employers to take on people and reduce the numbers unemployed," Gustav Horn told German radio on Tuesday....
    [What a Dummkopf! He's basically saying that their only hope is an Act of God, a miracle, a magic hat-trick. Is this moron an economist? Could he possibly lay claim to being a scientist, if only a social scientist, with such superstitions? In fact, the only thing that would help Germany is to copy France, cut the workweek and spread the income beyond the executive boardrooms to the multitudes of people who spend it - and spread the leisure of their wives to give everyone time to spend it in - and we don't mean just once or twice a year with those 5-6 week German vacations.]
    IG Metall [big German union] is...planning to seek the introduction of a 28.5 hour working week in several steps by 2003 to help reduce unemployment, Bild newspaper said.
    [Well, they're on the right track. And that level of workweek would put them ahead of France and make Germany the world leader in economic modernization and the constructive assimilation of technology.]


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