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Timesizing News, November 26-30, 2001
[Commentary] ©2001 Phil Hyde, The Timesizing Wire, Box 117, Harvard Sq, Cambridge MA 02238 USA 617-623-8080


11/30/2001  today's breaking Timesizing news round the world -

11/29/2001  today's breaking Timesizing news round the world -
  1. Gov't, business, labor agree to talk on work-sharing, KyodoNews via AP-NY-11-28-01 via AOLNews.
    TOKYO...- Representatives from the government, business and labor sections agreed Wednesday to establish a new council to jointly study the idea of work-sharing as a way to help the nation's deteriorating employment situation....
    [At last! The economy that most needs to share the vanishing work is finally talking about it!]
    Work-sharing is a system where a number of workers share a job by shortening their working hours so as to maintain employment and create new job opportunities for those without jobs..\..
    [Oops, they may not quite 'get the concept' after all. Job sharing is different from work sharing in that, with job sharing you're still basing your approach on the assumption that a "job" is (1) full time and (2) a certain number of hours per week, like 40. In work sharing, you're looking at a bigger picture and not taking so much for granted or so much as eternal and 'set in concrete' - the definition of "job" for instance, in terms of standard full-time at a certain standard level such as 40 hrs/wk. With job sharing, you're liable to come up with more rigid ad-hoc arrangements like two women sharing a 40-plus hr/wk bank job (we've got a story on this very early on these timesizing news pages). With work sharing, you're liable to come up with a more flexible, market-driven arrangement such as Lincoln Electric's or Nucor's. Japan needs work-sharing, not job-sharing. France is sortof halfway in between with its 35-hour workweek. If Japan adopted a slowly fluctuating workweek, fluctuating against unemployment, Japan would immediately be ahead of France in economic design and evolution even if it took several years for her workweek to inch down below France's 35 hours a week. Flexibility and the replacement of arbitrary determination with determination by relevant problem (e.g., current standard workshare per person determined by unemployment = number of potential sharers and amount of natural market-demanded employment to be shared).]
    The agreement was reached at their three-way forum Wednesday morning and about 20 representatives participated. The reps included Health, Labor and Welfare Minister Chikara Sakaguchi, ...chairman of the Japan Federation of Employers' Assocs (Nikkeiren) Hiroshi Okuda, and...president of the Japanese Trade Union Confederation Kiyoshi Sasamori....
    The business and labor sectors have been jointly examining ways to introduce the system. But now the government as a supervising sector wants to join the discussions, according to labor ministry officials. The ways for how to push forward the three-way discussions are yet to be decided, they said.
    Sakaguchi, speaking at the beginning of Wednesday's three-way forum, said, "The employment situation is very severe at present. High school graduates are having a particularly hard time finding jobs.... The government would like to be involved in the talks on work-sharing between the employer and the labor sides."...
    A labor representative said during the forum that a uniform labor policy is unlikely to work well as the employment situation varies by region.
    [No problem. Timesizing can be introduced on a regional basis, using referendums of the region's voters to define problematic unemployment and the rate at which the regional standard workweek should change, and even to set the tax rate on overtime profit (a firm's advantage from using overtime instead of training/hiring temporary or permanent employees, such tax revenue to be used to set up OT-targeted training - and of course, with a complete tax exemption for firms that are willing to do their own reinvesting of OT profit in training and hiring). For example, in the introductory stages of public-sector timesizing, an economic impact assessment might indicate that it would be better to introduce the tax gradually with a rate of, say, 25% of overtime profit, and then gradually step it up to 100% over the next few months or years depending on how urgently the regional economy needs stimulation.]
    One employer noted that there are few definite measures to solve the problems of high school graduates, but employers should find ways to help them.
    [Let's not get distracted by fractionating the unemployment problem into age cohorts. Governments waste far too much time getting too detailed too fast. Get the basics of timesizing set up for the region-specific case and pour your energy into debugging an overtime-to-training&hiring conversion system at the actual standard fulltime regional workweek level - and converging all of the region's firms to that level - and then experimenting with decrementing that uniform regional level to gain natural market-demanded jobs - regardless of age.]

  2. ACCI against union's fight for shorter working hours, Australian Broadcasting 27 Nov 2001 11:00 am AEDT via AOLNews.
    The Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (ACCI) is attempting to block the ACTU's (probably "Australian Confederation of Trade Unions'") claim for shorter working hours in the Industrial Relations Commission.
    ["Claim" meaning "bid" (below), "campaign," "effort"?]
    Executive director [of ACCI] Bryan Noakes says changes to awards allowing workers to negotiate shorter hours would cause a productivity slump.
    ["Awards" meaning "laws," "settlements"? Apparently this employers' group still believes the 19th-century "Say's Law," which said that markets always clear, meaning productivity creates its own demand ("if you make it, they will buy." This "law" of economic "science" was subjected to repeated contradiction from the facts of economic experience and history, especially the Great Depression, but many economists, whose motto is apparently "don't confuse me with facts, my mind's made up," still preach and teach it, for example, the supply-siders who flared again in the 1980s and are still not completely silenced. So what Bryan Noakes is saying is, don't stop us from concentrating work and income and spending power as much as we want, the only thing that counts is productivity (regardless of whether or not anyone buys it). This viewpoint ignores (1) the technological acceleration of productivity and (2) the uselessness of productivity without any demand for it on the part of consumers. Though it's the Third Millennium, few people yet understand how much technology has changed things. The late 1990s were full of talk about "the New Economy" in which investment was supposedly freed from the banal necessity of yielding a profit. But actually, the New Economy is freed from the banal necessity of working long hours, and 40 hrs/wk is now very long at our high technology level. As Reuther said to Ford in response to his "Let's see you unionize these robots" - "Let's see you sell them cars." And our choice of downsizing instead of timesizing in response to technological advance is now allowing so unspendably tight a concentration of income and spending power that we've moved beyond the stage where work-spreading via hourscuts are optional to where they're imperative for pulling the global economy out of this slump. Oh, there will be attempts to do so via government spending on makework and the military and prison industrial complexes, but those are working more and more poorly, as Japan's (with makework) and USA's (with military and prisons) current slump testifies.]
    "The ACTU has produced a lot of emotive arguments and a lot of sweeping generalisations about the way work is performed," he said. "What we will say is that when you examine available evidence and interpret it properly, those statements and generalisations cannot be sustained."
    [Then why is the Australian economy (and everywhere else, except France) slumping, if everything's just fine the way it is?]
    The test case is the ACTU's first uniform bid for shorter working hours in more 50 years. A decision is expected early next year.
    A decision is expected early next year.
    [Compare a previous article for which we have no title or newswire/newspaper reference, only a date -]
    Australian situation, taken "from today's papers" by Mike Ballard, via Shorter Work Time e-list (swt-digest.swt.org).
    ...The trade union movement's attempt to secure a review of working hours, based on claims that Australia is becoming the sweatshop of the western world, resumes in Melbourne today.
    The review of working hours is the first since the 40-hour week was introduced [in Australia] in 1947.
    During the opening yesterday [11/18?], the ACTU [Australian Confederation of Trade Unions?] told the Australian Industrial Relations Commission (AIRC) that this country was only second to South Korea in having the longest working hours in the developed world.
    The union movement says 1.8 million Australians - 31% of the workforce - now work more than 48 hours a week, workloads that would be illegal in much of Europe.
    Employers told the AIRC the review did not have the backing of all workers because many were concerned the case would diminish their chances of receiving overtime. The employers' organization, the Australian Industry Group (AIG), said the issue should be dealt with on an industry-by-industry basis.
    The Reasonable Hours Test Case, as the case in called, is expected to take three weeks.
    Deliberations involve representatives of 15 parties [meaning "organizations"], including Qantas, Australia Post, the National Farmers Federation, the Queensland and Victorian governments and the federal government.

  3. EADS says Airbus cut would mean job cuts - paper, Reuters 15:!7 11-28-01 via AOLNews.
    FRANKFURT...- European aerospace company EADS {EAD.DE} on Wednesday said its Airbus unit would have to build at least 270 aircraft next year to prevent job cuts.
    [But only if they keep a rigid long-hours definition of "job."]
    "We would have to consider further adjustments if we were under this threshold," Rainer Hertrich, EADS joint CEO, said in an advance copy of an interview to be published in Thursday's edition of Germany's Sueddeutsche Zeitung. Airbus plans to produce 300 aircraft, but could make 30 fewer by reducing working hours and taking other measures, Hertrich said. "It is true. We are in a serious situation," Hertrich said....
    [Then DO it, Rainer. Cut working hours! Think of the materials in an Airbus. Think of the environmental impact and energy consumption in producing one of these monsters. And we're supposed to order 270 of these babies every year just to keep Hertrich's workforce spinning their wheels for 37.5 or 40 or whatever hours/week they currently call "full time"? This story exemplifies the ecological value of sharing the vanishing work instead of continuing to strain ourselves and our environment to maintain a frozen pre-technology fossil of a workweek. Anders Hayden has written about this in his recent book "Sharing the Work, Sparing the Planet."]

11/28/2001  today's breaking Timesizing news round the world -
  1. Strike-hit Marseille refiners to resume output, by Pete Harrison and Neil Chatterjee, Reuters 07:34 11-27-01 via AOLNews.
    Refineries at the key French petrochemicals hub of Marseille [apparently it can be spelled with or without final s, but this sure looks weird] were heading towards a resumption of normal output on Tuesday, as a port strike ended that had prevented tankers from unloading essential crude oil supplies. The Port Authority of Marseille said crude deliveries has resumed, following the 13-day dispute over working hours....
    Incoming tankers have been held up at the port complex since Nov. 14, when port workers began a strike in a dispute over pay and conditions with the Marseille port authority..\.. BP had been forced to scale back production to 60% during the strike.... TotalFinaElf said on Monday it was reversing its 20% cuts at La Mede and Feyzin in the hope of returning to normal production by the end of this week....
    More than 300 dockers approved the deal, after asking management for a hard copy of the agreement on fewer working hours hammered out by both sides on Sunday during a marathon 14-hour negotiating session. The deal will give dockers a 33-hour working week. The BP spokesman said the union only signed the deal once the Port Authority guaranteed it would not take legal action against them.
    [Whoa, a 33-hour workweek! What's that, six 5½-hour days? France is moving right along! But we aren't yet told what the stumbling block was - probably mgmt resistance to hiring replacement staff for the lost hours. And we aren't even told in this article the name of the union, though it was probably the CGT union that was mentioned yesterday in stories 2 and 3. It would be nice to know what CGT stands for.]

  2. Brazil gov't pushes labor law bill amid protests, by Katherine Baldwin, Reuters 16:01 11-27-01 via AOLNews.
    BRASILIA...- Brazil's government furiously lobbied divided lawmakers on Tuesday to back a bill aimed at making it easier for companies to hire and fire, as hundreds of union members swarmed the capital in protest. The bill, which Pres. Fernando Henrique Cardoso designated as urgent to speed its approval, would enable labor unions and employers...
    [notice how she puts unions first as if it's for them?! - bizarre. Why include them at all in this sentence?]
    ...to negotiate contractual changes that would override famously pro-worker labor legislation of the 1940s.
    [It's that legislation which has the credit for what development of its domestic markets Brazil has enjoyed for the last 61 years, instead of turning back into a nation of impoverished millions dominated by a superwealthy few. What's that you say? It's still looks like that to a lot of us? Then they should be strengthening this legislation, not overriding it.]
    Analysts said the bill was one of Cardoso's last chances to implement unpopular free-market reforms before Congress grinds to a virtual halt ahead of presidential elections next year....
    [Surely this is the only century when the word "reform" has been coopted by the wealth-owned media to that it can appear in the contradictory phrase, "unpopular reforms." Reforms, if truly such, are not unpopular. They are only and always popular. And as for the "free market" nature of these anti-labor "reforms" - they're just going to enslave the market more tightly to the insulated and short-term whims of the top brackets. Like America (with e.g, the repeal of Glass-Steagall and the attempt to restrict the bankruptcy law), the top brackets in Brazil seem to have forgotten the hard lessons of the Great Depression and are intent on destroying the legislation designed to prevent its recurrence. That means it will recur, and we may already be in its "foothills."]
    Cardoso, business leaders and economists said the changes would slash red tape and company costs, simplifying the hiring and firing process.
    [They mean easing the destructive practice of mass layoffs, not individual case-by-case firing. And check out this nasty little argument -]
    That could help reduce the number of workers hired illegally and create more jobs, they said.
    [How about they just enforce the laws against illegal hiring and create more jobs?! Basically, they would be reducing the number of workers hired illegally only by repealing the laws that made them illegal, and that would hardly create more jobs!]
    But union leaders and opposing lawmakers argued the bill would give bosses free rein to lay off workers en masse or retract employees' benefits, particularly harming workers who are not part of a strong union..\.. "In Brazil...many unions are weak and don't have a presence in the work place," said Luiz Marinho, president of Sao Paulo's ABC Metalworkers Union.... "We managed to build a big union on site [in the big VW plant near Sao Paulo] but it's an exception," said Marinho, protesting in Brasilia....
    [Then look at this bizarre hodgepodge of bad confused with good effects of the bill -]
    If the bill is approved, unions and employers could agree to overriding existing laws.
    But Cardoso's plan to storm the bill through Congress as emergency legislation [what a slimeball!] - holding up all other bills - ran into trouble as one of the key forces in his 4-party coalition opposed the bill and protesters stole the media spotlight..\.. As banner-waving protesters from around the country taunted riot police at Congress' gates, lawmakers sought to postpone the vote on the bill, although they began debating it Tuesday evening.... Postponing the vote would effectively shelve the legislation until after the Oct/2002 election [and the end of] Cardoso's term...in Dec/2002...given its unpopularity with voters, political analysts said. "If this loses its emergency status, it is basically liquidated," said Harold Britto, a political analyst in Brasilia. "The government probably thought this would be relatively simple because it didn't require constitutional changes, but they seem to have underestimated the difficulty"..\..
    Banners accused the government of pandering to the interests of multinationals and the IMF, which has a loan agreement with Brazil, and lawmakers in the Brazilian Democratic Party (PMDB) said they would vote against the bill if it came to a vote on Tuesday....

11/27/2001  today's breaking Timesizing news round the world -
  1. Workplace: Experts say layoffs could weaken companies' prospects, by Sherwood Ross (Sherwood@mato.com), Reuters 14:44 11-26-01 via AOLNews.
    In the midst of one of the worst downturns ever in the airline industry, Southwest Airlines has avoided the thousands of layoffs that other airlines have launched.... Although the airline industry "has been beaten like no other," spokesman Ed Stewart of Southwest Airlines said,...
    [except hotels, casinos, Manhattan, aircraft mfg, tourism....]
    ..."layoffs are absolutely the last thing we would consider."...
    [Now regardless of understandable industry hyperbole, there is a Good Company.]
    "Too often, layoffs are used as a first resort in troubled times," said sociologist Wayne Baker, director of the Center for Society & Economy at the University of Michigan Business School, in Ann Arbor. ...Employers should try harder to steer a middle course between the extremes of no layoffs and across-the-board cuts. Baker said, for example, managers might ask employees to accept a shorter workweek or 20% pay cut....
    Ross Reck, a management consultant based in Tempe, Ariz., and author of "The X-Factor: Getting Extraordinary Results from Ordinary People" (Wiley & Sons) also cautions that in many cases layoffs can harm a company's future prospects.... Savvy outfits, Reck said, have asked employees to take unpaid vacations or reduce working hours, rather than lay them off....
    ...The better a company treats its workers, the harder employees will try to find ways to keep their jobs by making themselves more valuable. ...Baker said that after 9/11, a number of Southwest Airline employees volunteered to work for free. Indeed, the airline's spokesperson said some even offered to contribute money. "You don't get that kind of response from people who work for a company that treats its people shabbily," Baker said.... [He] concluded: "The real cost of layoffs is the ruination of the company's 'social fabric' - the social capital of a company. It takes a long time to build up and a short time to destroy it. Layoffs destroy it."...

  2. French police protect strike-hit euro mint, by Claude Canellas, Reuters 10:39 11-26-01 via AOLNews.
    BORDEAUX, France...- France put its only euro mint under politice protection on Monday after breaking up a picket outside the plant where staff have been striking over working hours, government officials said. There has been no production of euro coins at..\..the mint in the Pessac suburb of Bordeaux [or the Bordeaux suburb of Pessac!]...since a majority of workers began striking on Nov. 15 in a dispute over how a nationwide law reducing the working week should be implemented....
    [What would it take to get these reports to tell us the problem? In many situations in France, employers, even government employers like this, don't want to obey the spirit of the shorter workweek law and hire extra people to make up for the loss of 4 working hours a week from current employees when the workweek was shortened from 39 to 35. This is why the government should cut their workweek first and led the process - to work out the bugs and get at least one whole sector (the public sector) on the same page. As it is, the government is putting the clamps on itself till next year along with the small companies (under 20 staffers) so the mint now and the museums we've been hearing about are probably getting ready for Jan. 1 compliance.]
    Union leaders condemned the police action.
    [Guess so.]
    "Management and the Finance Ministry prefer intimidation and provocation to negotiation," the CGT union said in a statement....
    [So these are the kinds of problems workweek adjustment can run into even at the dawn of the Third Millennium, even with generations of worksaving machines and robots in operation, and even among an "enlightened," "intelligent" species like us (cough cough) - branches of the government that has passed the workweek reduction law won't even apply it in the intended way and when the police come out, they pressure the strikers instead of the out-of-compliance government employers. Baa-zarre and ridiculous.]

  3. France refiners boost output as port strike eases, by Neil Chatterjee and Keyvan Hedvat, Reuters 11:52 11-26-01 via AOLNews.
    U.S. oil major Esso said on Monday its Marseile-Fos refinery in southern France had returned to full production after receiving supplies from a crude tanker on Sunday. The move came as Marseille port workers began easing a 13-day port strike that had forced several nearby refineries starved of crude oil to slashe output late last week. Port officials said on Sunday they had hammered out an agreement with strikers over working hours but France's CGT said on Monday the deal had not yet been signed....
    [Lucky we put the other article first or we'd never know that CGT was a union. The reporters on many of these French articles apparently don't know one of the most basic rules for writers - "Schreib zum duemmsten der Leser!" (write for the dumbest of the readers). Anyway, we can only surmise that there was a similar problem at this refinery - employers were willing to compress the workweek and their employees by expecting the same output from 35 hours as from 39, but they were not willing to accomplish the purpose of the workweek reduction by hiring more people to make up for the lost hours, so that unemployment and unemployment insurance taxes can be lowered.]

  4. ["Let me be a workoholic or I'll slug you with my baguette!"]
    French bakers protest reduced hours, by Jean-Marie Godard, AP-NY-11-26-01 1814EST via AOLNews.
    PARIS - Thousands of bakers, some wielding giant baguettes, marched in Paris on Monday to protest France's plan to shorten the work week. Police said 2,900 bakers from across the country marched on the Employment Ministry's offices to protest the 35-hour work week, which is to take effect for small- and mid-sized businesses next year.
    TV reports showed bakers marching in their traditional aprons and floppy white hats. Many held placards that read "Allow us Time to Serve Our Clients Well."
    "Serving our clients early in the morning and late in the evening is part of our job," said a leaflet from the National Confederation of French Bakers and Confectioners, which organized the march. "We demand enough time to make proper bread, enough time to serve our clients properly, enough time to work freely."
    [Have they ever heard of shifts? Have they ever heard of splitting the day, if it's so important to catch early-morning and late-evening trade?]
    Prime Minister Lionel Jospin's Socialist government introduced a law to shorten the work week to 35 hours from 39 in an effort to reduce unemployment.
    [And then did not jump in with government demonstrating the process and leading the way.]
    The law is a centerpiece of Jospin's program, but many employers say the government is meddling in the economy.
    [Jospin needs to dramatize how much other expensive government meddling in the economy this one central change will allow. He'll be able to cut unemployment taxes, repeal minimum wage laws, dismantle jobs programs, unnecessary public works, industrial policy, programs like our block grants and enterprise zones, and much of the other big government that has grown, since our misguided lead with the New Deal, into a huge makework campaign designed to offset private-sector "efficiency" since the 1930s that manifested in terms of total jobcuts for a few instead of small hourscuts for everyone.]
    Companies with more than 20 employees were forced to implement the shorter work week starting in February last year [2000]; smaller firms have until Jan. 1 [2002].
    [And Jospin let the government off the hook until the smaller firms' deadline. This implementation is in many ways how NOT to apply Timesizing. It is rigid, arbitrary, unconnected to and uncontrolled by changing levels of unemployment, unidirectional... etc. etc. and yet it is STILL working to make France the most recession-resistant economy in Europe and possibly the world. Check out our story below on 11/24 #1. These bakers have more people with more money and time to buy their wares because of the implementations of this highly flawed worksharing program so far. DEVELOP AND SHOW THEM THE FIGURES! You want the business? You play the game.]
    Franceline Delalande, who runs a bakery in the eastern Burgundy region, said large companies can handle the 35-hour work week because their employees can work rotating shifts. "If I have to apply the law, I will either have to close my shop for two days a week, or employ more people, which is financially impossible," said Delalande. Three people work at her bakery. Speaking to The Assoc'd Press at the march, Delalande said if the government does not scrap the plan, "it will lead to the death of small shops. There will only be big supermarkets with frozen products left."
    [Hmm, we were wondering about this simplistic division at the 20-employee level. France's implementation is quite flexible in terms of annualizing the workweek reduction or even "weekifying" it in the sense you don't have to cut to five 7-hr days as long as your overall workweek doesn't come to over 35 hours. But this woman's situation raises the possibility of making a more graduated implementation based on finances instead of on number of employees. The intent of the bill, of course, is to get Franceline to employ more people - or leave the trade to someone else two days a week. But is she really that close to the edge that she'll be ruined by an 11% cut in the workweek (from current 39 hrs/wk to coming 35)? Maybe the best course for Jospin would be to delay application of the law to small businesses for another year while some "economic impact" assessments are made on very small businesses like Franceline's, and meanwhile, APPLY THE LAW TO THE GODDAM GOVERNMENT!!! That will produce even more recession-proofing for share-work France while Germany and the other makework economies continue downward, and even more business for small companies like Franceline's to mute their squawking. It would also give Jospin time to redesign the stifling top of the workweek, which right now says flatly to everyone, STOP WORK HERE (at 35 or whatever) when it should say, CHOOSE ONE - That's the essence of Timesizing's Phase Two. It might even be possible to apply Amory Lovins' *Rocky Mountain Institute idea of marketable pollution credits to smaller businesses, in the sense that if a small firm really thinks they need to work more people more than 35 hours a week and thereby has to concentrate natural market-demanded hours on fewer people and "pollute" the economy with more unemployed who have thereby been deprived of their share, let them buy disemployed pollution credits or some such from other firms that can afford to work even fewer hours per week than 35 and use the unused "pollution credits" of those other firms. The point is, there's nothing wrong with the basic work sharing idea, but like every new idea from the steam locomotive to the aeroplane, there are a lot of little ways to make it work better, and France is doing the rest of the world an immense service by prototyping the concept for our time. We need a LOT more press coverage and discussion of France's experiences along the way. She is definitely leading the world on this right now. When our grandparents took it for granted that we'd all need to work only 20 or 30 hours a week by now, the dawn of the Third Millennium with worksaving technology all around us, we are certainly an unintelligent and masochistic bunch when groups like these bakers of France are squawking about coming down a measly 4-5 hours a week to 35. Pathetic! Many colleges and insurance companies have been on 35-hour workweeks already for decades! How do they suppose humans are going to make any substantial progress in the substantial terms of less work and more pay? Cutting the workweek has its difficulties, but they are The Right Difficulties, similar to the difficulties in developing the steamship or the light bulb. These things represent the way ahead and give human beings more freedom and variability; in short, more survivability. And let us recall an often overlooked fact - the most basic freedom is free time, because without it, the two (or whatever) active freedoms cannot be exercised (freedom of speech and religion).]

    • [Was this a timesizing or just a paysizing?]
    Crash deals new blow to revival of Swiss airline, by Elizabeth Olson, NYT, W1, W7.
    ...Swissair workers struck for half a day at Geneva's airport last week over pay cuts - pilots' pay fell 25% and cabin crew pay fell 9.4%, retroactive to Nov. 1, under the rescue plan - and they are demanding more severance benefits from the government....
    [Whoa, if you want trouble, just make a paycut retroactive! Some of these employers have the brains of Neanderthalers, duuuh. A timesizing can be an hourscut alone or an hourscut with a prorated paycut. Guess if they're making the paycut retroactive, there's no way this is a timesizing unless they're keeping track of comp time - unlikely.]


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