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Timesizing News, August 21-31, 2002
[Commentary] ©2002 Phil Hyde, Timesizing.com, Box 622, Porter Sq, Cambridge MA 02140 USA 617-623-8080


8/31/2002  primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -

8/30/2002  timesizing consciousness and primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -
  1. Businesses can learn from failure, by Joyce Rosenberg, AP 08/29/02 07:05 EDT via AOLNews.
    Jeff and Diane Hunt started their silk-screening and embroidery business with a can-do attitude.... And that was fine, until CES Screenprinting and Embroidery started getting bigger, and there was no organized way for all the work to get done.... Things were so bad, Hunt said, that at one point, nearly a fifth of their receivables...were still unpaid after 30 days. No one had time to call customers to remind them the bills were due.
    CES, located in Indian Trail NC, is still in business today.... Along the way, the Hunts learned to delegate more, freeing them to do the tasks they really need to do. And Hunt said his workweek has shrunk to 40-50 hours a week from 80-100....
    [That's one thing for entrepreneurs and family businesses, but if the whole economy did that, work that is still unautomated would get so bunched up on so few people, domestic markets would collapse.]

  2. French PM Raffarin seeks to dispel budget doubts, by Joelle Diderich, Reuters 08/29/02 07:03 ET via AOLNews.
    Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin on Thursday sought to quell doubts about his government's ability to juggle its pledges of taxcuts and spending rises against a background of disappointing growth.... Adding to the government's troubles, it faces the threat of union protests over its plans to cut employers' labour costs and ease restrictions on the 35-hour workweek, a flagship reform of the previous Socialist government [that was] ousted in June. Labour and Social Affairs Minister Francois Fillon is consulting unions and employers this week to ease the path of the [counter-]reform, due to be presented to parliament in October.
    [This story must be a regurgitation or have been filed late because this consultation has already taken place and the unions have declared their disatisfaction with it.]
    Raffarin is acutely aware that strikes in 1995 helped bring down France's conservative government two years later....

8/29/2002  primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -
  1. Mesaba Aviation to furlough some pilots, shut bases, Dow Jones via WSJ, A8.
    MINNEAPOLIS - ...The parent of a commuter airline that operates as a Northwest Airlink partner of Northwest Airlines..\..will furlough about 50 of its 950 pilots...between now and year end due to an expected drop in passengers [after 9/11] and lower aircraft usage.
    [That's 50 jobs saved by cutting worktime instead of workforce.]
    Mesaba...will...close its [flight-crew] bases in Wausau and Rhinelander WI..\.. ...Traffic fell 12.1% for the first 7 months of 2002..\.. The cost-cutting measures come on the heels of similar actions by many of Mesaba's larger competitors, including AMR Corp. [ie: American] and Continental Airlines....

  2. [Mesaba's response to downturn offers some good news. Now for some bad news that still reflects a hopeful timesizing consciousness -]
    Working in the post-recession workplace equals heavier workloads and longer workdays, CareerBuilder.com survey shows, PRNewswire 08/28/2002 08:45 EDT via AOLNews.
    ["Post-recession"??? What makes them so sure?! At any rate, that's the extent of the good news in this PR piece.]
    CHICAGO...- Workers in today's post-recession workplace are struggling to survive. Demands placed upon workers has resulted in increased workloads, longer workdays and rarely a break from the routine of work, according to CareerBuilder.com's "Life at Work" survey [which] included more than 1,400 respondents.
    After months and months of layoffs, many organizations are attempting to do the same amount of work as they managed to do last year; however, the volume of work is taxing the capacities of an already compressed staff. Not surprisingly, more than one-third of workers reported an increase in their workloads in the past 6 months.
    "Since Labor Day 2001, layoffs have touched the majority of workers in the workforce, either indirectly or directly," said Dawn Haden, a senior career advisor at CareerBuilder.com. "Because of the impending threat of a layoff, actual or implied, workers are getting the job done and making themselves appear indispensable. This has resulted in longer hours and heavier workloads." [Pretty stupid, eh? Longer hours and heavier workloads in an age when there has never been more worksaving technology, and all because our executive and employer class can't think more than one move ahead in chess and see that a downsizing response to technology strangles your customer base and dishes up recession, while a timesizing response (trimming the workweek, not the workforce) makes life better for everyone, including them.]
    Despite the workplace innovations of flextime and 4-day workweeks, the majority of workers spend 40 hours or more working 5 days a week on the job. Arriving to work early does not guarantee the possibility of leaving work early or on time.   39% of those who arrived at work early stayed late. Of those who stated that they arrived on time, 30% stayed late. With more than two-thirds of workers scheduled for a 5-day workweek, 46% reported that they work 40 hours or more as compared to 42% as measured in a CareerBuilder.com survey conducted in October 2001.
    In the post-recession workplace, the lunch hour is a misnomer: half of workers surveyed spent 45 minutes or less at lunch and 35% took 30 minutes or less for lunch.   67% stated that they did not leave the company premises for lunch. Instead, these workers ate in a designated lunch area, took a break in their work area or ate while working.
    45% of workers indicated that they were dissatisfied with their pay and more than 1/3 was dissatisfied with opportunities for career advancement. "Once the economy shows solid signs of improvement, the balance of these workers will be poised to seek another opportunity," commented Haden.
    [Don't hold your breath, cuz American CEOs are still practicing kneejerk downsizing instead of timesizing, and all that downsizing is still leaving pockets of economic depression in its wake.]
    The survey
    ...was conducted from July 11 to July 18, 2002.... CareerBuilder.com commissioned SurveySite to use an e-mail methodology whereby individuals who are members of SurveySite Web Panel were randomly selected and approached...to participate in the online survey. The results of this survey are accurate within +/- 2.5%.
    ...CareerBuilder
    ...is a leading online source for maximizing recruitment dollars and optimizing job searches with superior products, customer service and technology.... For more information..., call 888-670-TEAM or visit... *CareerBuilder.com
    Media contact
    ...Lynda Orban at (949) 439-8406 or... lynda@orbanassociates.com

  3. French govt '03 target unrealistic - business, Reuters 08/28/02 07:49 ET via AOLNews.
    PARIS...- France's employers association, Medef, said on Wednesday the government's forecast of 3% economic growth next year was "absolutely unrealistic" and pressed it to undertake controversial labour market "reforms."...
    [Our quotes around "reforms" since at least half the population would call them "changes for the worse," not the better - ed.]
    Adding to the government's troubles, \Medef's\ president, Ernest-Antoine Seilliere...said Medef wanted to see a relaxation of working hour restrictions - a "reform" opposed by the country's powerful unions.
    [The employers' association in France (Medef) is a lot less far-sighted than its counterpart in Japan (Nikkeiren) - see 3/29/2002 #1. Work sharing is another name for cutting the workweek to spread the shrinking amount of yet-unautomated human employment across more people who need to support themselves.]
    Seilliere urged the government to relax a law introduced by the previous...government which restricts the legal maximum number of overtime hours worked to 130 per year.
    [So the real maximum number of annual working hours in France is higher than you'd calculate just by multiplying 35 hours x 48 weeks (= 1680 hours). It's actually 1680+130= 1810 hours.]
    "We need a decree, for example, on overtime that increases the possibility for our country to work," he said, adding that Medef was concerned the government was hesitant about pushing ahead with such labour market "reforms."
    [Maybe that's because Medef, like English-speaking economists, analysts and most employers, is narrowly focused on working to produce output regardless of markets, and the difference with the Nikkeiren in Japan is that Japanese employers have seen 12 years without markets, and they've decided that maybe they need to optimize production in conjunction with optimizing their nation's consumption.]
    Despite government efforts to tread carefully on the labour reform issue, Seilliere said it must decree that employees can work longer hours - regardless of the outcome of talks with unions on the issue.
    [France, as the only nation with a statutory workweek as low as 35 hours, may be the most advanced economy in the world, but there are still a lot of people there who just don't get it. They don't understand that the promise of technology - less work and more pay - is not just a nice option. It's a categorical imperative - unless you want to stagnate wages and funnel and deactivate the spending power of the nation, clobber your consumer base, strangle domestic demand and generate unending recession - like Japan without worksharing the last 12 years. So even many people in France dance to the old anglosaxon Puritan Work Ethic = never mind working smart, just "work hard to get ahead."]
    "(Negotiations) won't lead to a result without conditions, because the unions...are not spontaneously going to go along with a reduction in the most restrictive aspects (of the legislation)," he said.
    [Seilliere is sooo clueless, perhaps he should just move to the USA where the unconditional surrender of the unions to employers is virtually absolute since they allowed themselves to be bribed out of the 30-hour workweek bill in the 1930s, and the payoff has been colossal corruption among employers and a consequently shaky stock market.]
    While pledging to ease working hours restrictions, the government is also eager to avoid protests by trade unions, whose strikes in 1995 helped lead two years later to the fall of France's last conservative government.
    Anxious to avoid such a fate, Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin has initiated a one-week round of consultations with unions on a package of proposed labour "reform" plans. But after meeting Labour and Social Affairs Minister Francois Fillon, the head of the CGT union, one of France's biggest, threatened on Tuesday to take to the streets if the government pushes ahead with plans.

8/28/2002  primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -
  1. Computer Sciences plans to cut 450 jobs, Bloomberg via NYT, C4.
    ...The 3rd-largest U.S. computer services company...whose customers include JP Morgan Chase...recently asked 60,000 workers to volunteer to take six months of leave with 20% of their pay.
    [Although Computer Sciences is announcing jobcuts today and did cut 2,000 jobs last year, it is also apparently trying to cut worktime as a substitute for even more workforce cuts = timesizing, not downsizing.]

  2. French union threatens protest over labour "reform" [our quotes - ed.], Reuters 08/27/02 15:52 ET via AOLNews.
    PARIS...- One of France's biggest trade unions [600,000-members] threatened on Tuesday to take to the streets if the government goes ahead with plans to cut employers' labour costs and ease restrictions on working hours.... The proposals include a relaxation in the 35-hour workweek introduced by the Socialist-led government ousted in June.... Some unionists have criticised the government for announcing the tenor of its bill before even consulting [the] parties involved. The CGT, in particular, has vowed to oppose the attempt to extend the working week, where the government proposes to raise the legal maximum number of overtime hours..\..
    [The French do not yet have a good overtime design, such as a corporate tax on overtime with an exemption for setting up on-the-job training in overtime-targeted skills.]
    CGT union chief Bernard Thiibault made the threat after meeting Labour and Social Affairs Minister Francois Fillon, who began a week of consultation with union bosses with the aim of avoiding protests.... Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin is acutely aware that strikes in 1995 helped to bring down France's last conservative government two years later....
    Other unions back the [increase in the overtime limit] as long as it is negotiated with each wage category.
    [Pretty stupid of them. They're basically saying, "Divide (and conquer) us," which pretty well undermines the whole concept of "union."]
    Unions are also in favour of harmonising the minimum wage, currently split into six tiers.
    [Now that would be unifying.]
    Labour groups also have concerns about other Raffarin measures, including the planned privatisation of state companies, pension reform and proposals to streamline France's large public sector by shedding posts. The are demanding broad wage increases for low earners,
    [if they'd keep cutting the workweek, market forces would take care of broad wage increases for them automatically.]
    which they say will help stimulate the hesitant economic recovery in France, the euro-zone's 2nd-largest economy.
    [Centrifuging the income of the nation would definitely stimulate the economy, and they're not going to get a recovery (nor is anywhere else in the world) until they do.]
8/27/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - 8/26/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - 8/24/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - 8/23/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - 8/22/2002  spontaneous cases of primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -
  1. Gov't to develop work-sharing guidelines, Kyodo 8/21/02 10:20 EDT via AOLNews.
    [Hmm, we thought they'd already done this back on 3/24/2002 according to Asahi. Guess those guidelines were just preliminary - a "draft agreement to emphasize work sharing for full-time employees."]
    TOKYO...- The Labor Ministry plans to develop guidelines for regular-payroll employees working fewer hours to facilitate work-sharing arrangements in Japan, officials said Wednesday. The Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare plans to request a special budget from the Finance Ministry to fund a string of surveys for fiscal 2003 to probe the feelings of Japanese on the proposed short-period regular work system, they said.
    [Japan, the sleeping giant, stirs again and may yet leap ahead of France in prototyping Long-term Centered Capitalism and escaping the quicksand of Short-term Split/Sided Capitalism that the USA, the UK and virtually every other economy is mired in.]
    Employees hired under the system would receive the same hourly pay and fringe benefits as full-time workers on the regular payroll.
    [All well and good. Then a peculiar twist -]
    The system is designed to increase the number of workers by recruiting mothers into the workforce and putting them on regular payrolls amid Japan's low birth rate and resultant rapidly aging population. The Ministry plans to conduct large surveys targeting people from various walks of life from youth below working age to people raising children to those taking care of elderly.
    [Granted a shorter workweek would make it easier for mothers to participate in the workforce and earn spending money to help raise Japan's under-consumption - this is great for single mothers (and single fathers) but doesn't Japan have enough general unemployed people without targeting mothers specifically? After all, why pay some stranger to raise your children if you can do it yourself?]
    The Ministry also plans to set up an advisory council whose members would be charged with devising guidelines for people who apply for the system, they said. The suggestions would be designed to meet specific needs of each industrial sector and business field based on feedback from unionns and industry associations.
    The Ministry wants to present the guidelines to various unions and industry associations, they said. It plans to pick four or five model companies from each area to check whether the guidelines would be workable, the officials said.
    [Good idea. That's what we've done on these news pages and on our case-studies page. Japan has been moving ahead with work sharing pretty steadily. A search of our timesizing news pages just between 11/2001 and 3/2002 reveals these highlights - [If Japan keeps creeping ahead on this, they're going to have full-blown, nationwide Flexible Adjustment of the Workweek vs. Unemployment, alias Timesizing, before France or Germany achieves that goal, and then they're going to beat the pants off the U.S. and U.K. in terms of consumer-base optimization, GDP per capita, and ecological sustainability!]

  2. Sanyo Electric to implement work-sharing scheme - paper, Reuters 8/21/02 14:46 ET via AOLNews.
    [On the company level, Sanyo has really been leading the way on work sharing - Sanyo Electric Co. Ltd. plans to streamline its biggest production base in Japan and implement a work-sharing system aimed at drastic cost-cutting while avoiding jobcuts, a Japanese business daily said. Sanyo, Japan's 3rd-largest consumer electronics maker, expects over 1,000 staff to be affected by the scheme to start in October, as part of its plan to partially shift production to cost-friendly China [oh-oh] from its factory in Gunma Prefecture, north of Tokyo, the Nihon Keizai Shimbun's online Thursday edition said....
    Sanyo is one of the first major Japanese firms to adopt such a system, which took effect in April, under which each employee works fewer hours and gets paid less.
    [But if the company's doing well, they can get paid the same for fewer hours, and when the system is applied economywide, market forces make sure they get paid the same or more because, with all the technology they're using, the productivity is there to support the same or higher pay.]
    The scheme includes the transfer of 600 to 700 factory workers to other departments and will mean a cut of up to 20% in base salary for those who will work shorter hours, the paper said.
    [Better a 20% paycut for all and they keep their jobs and make a minimal change in their spending patterns, than a complete job loss for 20% of the current employees who then shut down their spending as much as they can, thereby damaging the consumption patterns of the economy and necessitating further percentage-cuts by the company down the line in a self-fueling downward spiral to economic collapse. The English-speaking economies (with the possible exception of Australia) will be demonstrating this disaster for the world in the next few decades, and maybe sooner, thanks to their productivity-regardless-of-marketability-fixated and efficiency-regardless-of-damage-to-consumer-base-obsessed economists and analysts.]
    Sanyo expects to shift 70% of its output of home-use air conditioners to China starting next March and keep production of high-end and eco-friendly models at home, the paper said. This production shift will generate excess labor of around 2,000 workers at its Gunma factory, the Nihon Keisai said.
    [Here's the problematic part. First, we're apparently going to have eco-hostile models for palming off on the Chinese and other Third-World nations, though the idea of producing for the Third World in the Third World is a good one. Second, what guarantees do we have that production from China won't be marketed for windfall profits in Japan resulting in further workforce and consumer base damage there? Every advanced economy in the world is going to have to design blocking systems for this kind of dumping unless it wishes to join the Third World itself, which seems to be the hidden agenda of the fervent and dogmatic free-traders in the English-speaking world.]

  3. French govt urged to trim 2003 growth forecast, Reuters 8/21/02 07:53 ET via AOLNews.
    PARIS...- The French government would be over-optimistic to base next year's budget on its most recent forecast for economic growth of 3%, the chairman of parliament's finance committe said on Wednesday. In an interview with Le Monde, Pierre Mehaignerie urged the government to base the budget on a forecast for growth in [the] range of 2.6-3.0% [big diff, not] and suggested that the tax cuts pledged by Pres. Jacques Chirac might have to wait....
    [Having exchanged the visionary Jospin for the hack Chirac, France is saddled with the same hackneyed economic sugarpills as the U.S., without the added saber-rattling.]
    Mehaignerie also urged the government to push ahead with reform of the country's large civil service. His call for reform came after the president and VP of France's main business federation, MEDEF, urged the government on Tuesday to reform the national pension system, make the 35-hour working week more flexible and lower social charges.
    [Vous français conduisez le monde en la semaine de travail plus courte. Ne laissez pas Chirac et les autres clochards l'affaiblir! Vous avez encore 9% de chaumage d'employer. Il faut la réduire plus pour le faire. So loin vous avez remployer 1% de chaumage pour chacune des quatre heures que vous avez coupez de la semaine de travail, de 13% a 9%. Courage, et continuez! (Et svp, excusez notre 'fractured French.')]

  4. Workers participate in a protest, AP 8/21/2002 via AOLNews.
    Workers participate in a protest in Santiago, Chile, Wed., Aug. 21, 2002, prior to a march by more than 3,000 workers demanding better working conditions and protesting a plan to allow employers to hire workers at reduced salaries and for shorter working hours. [isolated-photo caption]
    [We don't know offhand what the unemployment rate is in Chile today, but if it's high, Chilean employees had better embrace shorter hours, drastically cut the unemployment, and market forces responding to labor "shortage" (actually balance) will take care of disciplining management and raising pay and benefits. This is the way of the future, the way of Timesizing - the only way to real progress unless you count the war approach to reducing excess labor.]

8/21/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -
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