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Timesizing News, October 1-10, 2002
[Commentary] ©2002 Phil Hyde, Timesizing.com, Box 622, Porter Sq, Cambridge MA 02140 USA 617-623-8080


10/10/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - there's a lot of actual timesizing going on - trimming hours, not jobs - but it's unreported -

10/09/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - no current stories so we delve into the barrel of late arrivals (there's a lot of actual timesizing going on - trimming hours, not jobs - but it's unreported) -

10/08/2002  primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -

10/06-07/2002  pre-timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - we don't have any current stories this weekend so we dip into the barrel of past one -

10/05/2002  primitive timesizing & pre-timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -

  1. French September services PMI grows at slower speed, by Glaieul Mamaghani, Reuters 10/04/02 03:51 ET via AOLNews.
    PARIS...- France's service sector, accounting for the lion's share of the euro zone's second biggest economy, grew for the eighth month running in September, but more slowly as demand weakened, a CDAF/Reuters survey showed on Friday.
    At 53.5, the catch-all Business Activity Index in the survey still posted gains above the no-change level of 50.0, but the expansion was the slowest seen since January. The survey showed the services sector's performance suffered from the uncertain economic climate and falling demand.
    [Here we see an article trying desperately to paint the chief reason for France's recession-resistance, its nationwide worksharing via a shorter workweek reduced only to 35 hours, as a Bad Thing.]
    These findings match data released on Tuesday showing that September consumer morale fell to its lowest level in six months, while recent figures indicated unemployment was flat at 9.0% in August.
    [In a commonsense future economy of say, 200 years from now, an automated workweek length, designed to gradually shrink as long as unemployment was too high or rising, would now be shrinking from 35 to 30 hours a week at the rate of half an hour every six months or even every quarter, thus spreading the vanishing human employment and further centrifuging the income dba spending power of the nation out to the people who actually spend it.]
    In September, new business showed its weakest pace of growth in 11 months at 52.9, down from 54.8 in August.
    "Panel members generally attributed the easing in the pace of demand expansion to uncertainty among customers over the current strength of domestic and global markets," said NTC Research, which compiles the survey.
    As a result of weaker demand, outstanding business contracted to 49.5.
    Also, for the first time in eight months, employment fell and posted losses at 49.0. The survey reported that 13.9% of companies chose to reduce staff in response to rising input costs and restructuring programmes.
    Indeed, input prices inflated to 58.4 in September against 57.5 in the previous month.
    "Firms across all of the broad sectors covered by the survey referred to the continuing effects of the 35-hour week scheme as being the major contributing factor to input price inflation during the month," NTC Research said.
    [And yet it is the big wage component of input price "inflation" that centrifuge the income of the nation and get the spending power away from the people who have more than they can spend to the people who actually spend it, thereby providing the consumer base/effective demand/the markets that better support the production facilities in which the wealthy are invested and on which they depend for their investment stability, rather than consolidating spending power so tightly that they actually suction the spending power away from their own investments.]
    In more competitive markets, companies found it hard to pass on these increasing costs to prices charged and the index expanded at its slowest rate since June 1999 at 51.0.
    Although business expectation recorded its lowest level of expansion this year at 68.4, fuelled by fears over low economic activity and international security, companies remained optimistic about future activity.
    The survey reported that "45% of panel members anticipated that their workloads would increase over the next twelve months."
    [Compare the upbeat article on France below on 10/01, and the downbeat article on the U.S. this Monday -]
    A little off the bottom line - As hard times persist, customers spend less at the hair salon, by Daisy Hernandez, 10/07/2002 NYT, A20.

  2. [pre-timesizing -]
    6 firms, janitors reach interim pact - Contractors break ranks, by Kimberly Blanton, Boston Globe, front page.
    Breaking ranks with other cleaning contractors, Atlanta-based One Source reached an interim agreement yesterday with janitors that reduces the number of hours unionized janitors must work to qualify for health insurance.
    [This development brings in timesizing from the bottom, similar to the Netherlands, by making part-time as good as "full" time (40 hrs/wk) in terms of benefits.]
    Local 254 of the Service Employees International Union [SEIU], which represents about 10,700 janitors in the Boston area, announced [it] with 6 cleaning companies, including One Source, which employ about 2,000 janitors.... Effective January 2005, janitors will be eligible for health benefits after working 27.5 hours per week, according to the agreement. Currently, they must work 29 hours for the benefits, and a small minority of janitors currently do. In the interim, the companies will establish a system for promoting janitors and moving them to buildings with more than 400,000 sq.ft., where they would be given the 27.5 hours necessary to qualify for the benefits. Employees are also are eligible for 3 sick days.
    The interim agreement does not address pay issues, which the 6 companies and the union will negotiate separately, a union spokesman said. ...The union said if the contract's terms were extended to all cleaning companies, an additional 1,500 janitors would be eligible for health insurance....

10/04/2002  primitive timesizing & timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -

  1. [gov't subsidized work sharing a slow go -]
    Only 2 firms receive gov't work-sharing subsidies, Kyodo News 10/03/02 00:34 EDT via AOLNews.
    TOKYO...- Only two companies have been approved to receive government subsidies for introducing work-sharing systems after the subsidies were introduced in June because employers remain slow to apply, public labor officials said Thursday. The work-sharing system allows workers to share jobs. Employees work shorter hours at less pay, but this allows firms to hire jobless workers.
    [And when the labor market starts tightening up, the pay starts rising, despite the shorter hours, just as it did 1840-1940 when hours cut in half (80 to 40/wk) and pay multiplied.]
    The two firms, both small manufacturers, are located in Fukushima and Kyoto prefectures. Their names and other details have been withheld to allow them to smoothly introduce the work-sharing system.
    Analysts blame the severe economic situation for the lack of applications. ''The situation is so severe that it allows few employers to think of introducing the system,'' said one analyst who follows the issue.
    [That's too bad, considering that the only thing making it better is...introducing the system, and activating the spending power of the nation by harnessing market forces to centrifuge it.]
    In order to introduce the work-sharing system, employers need to obtain an agreement from their labor unions, which also slows down the application process, he pointed out. An official at the Health, Labor and Welfare Ministry also said many employers are not aware of the subsidies.
    The government plans to provide the subsidies to about 3,000 companies over the next three years. But the plan may not be implemented as smoothly as expected due to the slow pace of applications.
    Due to the prolonged economic slump and increased unemployment, the government agreed with labor and employer representatives in March to set the subsidies. It began accepting applications from employers in June. The number of total applications submitted so far is not immediately known.
    Companies can receive subsidies when they hire workers aged between 45 and 59 (who lost their jobs for reasons such as company restructuring) through public job-placement offices, within six months from the approval. Employers who plan to introduce the system must apply with a concrete plan to their local labor bureau.
    Once approved, they will receive a one-time subsidy payment of 300,000 to 1 million yen, depending on their size [that's roughly $3000-10,000]. Additional subsidies of 150,000 yen to 300,000 yen per person [$1500-3000] will be given when the number of hired jobless workers increases.
    [Are those also one-time? Ifso, no wonder nobody's applying. It's not worth the short-term paperwork let alone the long-term dérangement. We still think they should bring it in by putting a little tax on overtime and exempting training and hiring, and then gradually raising the tax. That's basically Timesizing/Phase 2.]

  2. ["unfettered capitalism" is a 48-hour workweek -]
    N.Korean zone chief bumps into limits of authority, by John Ruwitch, Reuters 10/03/02 08:23 ET via AOLNews.
    SHENYANG, China...- China-based Yang Bin may be the new governor of Communist North Korea's fledgling capitalist zone, but already there appear to be clear limits to his authority - on both sides of the border. After promising at first unfettered access, and then temporary visas to visit Pyongyang's showcase-to-be Sinuiju enclave, Yang's bid to promote the new zone to the international community ran into another hitch on Thursday.
    North Korea, Yang said, was taking longer with the visas than expected, and it could be several weeks before foreign reporters were allowed into the new special administrative region just across from the Chinese border city of Dandong. And his efforts to host the reporters at his corporate base in the northeastern Chinese city of Shenyang ran into trouble as well - provincial police declared his news conference "illegal reporting" and ordered all journalists to leave the area....
    Unfettered capitalism?
    The blueprints for Sinuiju call for unfettered capitalism, but analysts and diplomats have questioned how Pyongyang and Yang will be able to build a more attractive investment zone than those across the border in China, let alone Hong Hong.
    Yang unveiled the zone's Basic Law on Thursday, which details the wide ranging autonomy it will have from Pyongyang and sets guidelines for economic activity there. The document Yang showed reporters promised that North Korea's cabinet and other government bodies would stay hands off for 50 years and provides details of the economic standards in the zone, like its 48-hour work week and 16-year-old working age.
    The Chinese-born Dutch businessman...a tulip tycoon..\..was appointed chief executive of the Sinuiju administrative region by North Korean leader Kim Jong-il in late September.... The zone is eventually to be split from the rest of the isolated Communist country by a wall, and will have its own government and laws that will be modelled, Yang says, on the best of European, American and Asian systems.
    Yang said it could take one to two months for a temporary quarantine on Sinuiju to be put in place and up to two years for a permanent one to be established. Up to 500,000 residents now in the city would have to be moved, and a new community would be built, he said.

10/03/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -

  1. [almost primitive-timesizing -]
    Northwest Airlines plans to cut about 1,600 flight attendants, AP via NYT, C6.
    ...because of the continuing slump in the industry since 9/11. The carrier, based in Eagan, Minn., asked its flight attendants to take voluntary leaves to reduce their numbers to match its forecast level of flying for this year and next. If enough flight attendants do not take voluntary leaves to reduce the payroll by 1,600 positions, there will be more layoffs.... Flight attendants who take temporary leaves of 1-12 months retain their seniority and recall rights and travel benefits, but not company-sponsored healthcare.
    [We'll take the 12-month figure as the definite latest rehiring date; however, it needs continuous health insurance and no threat of layoffs. Northwest could get rid of the threat if it put this program on a weekly basis for the whole company instead of this monthly basis for just 1600 employees. Then they could just adjust the company's workweek monthly or even weekly and implement overtime-targeted cross-training and continue indefinitely as the most flexible and competitive airline comparable to Nucor in steel or Lincoln Electric in welding equipment.]

10/02/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -

  1. Best Software launches new 'For Life' branding campaign - Awareness initiative highlights customer benefits of market-leading solutions from a single, trusted vendor, PRNewswire 10/01/2002 08:04 EDT via AOLNews.
    BOSTON - ..."Small and mid-sized business owners are increasingly busy balancing the demands of their business with those of their personal life"..\..according to Executive VP and Chief Marketing Officer Nina Smith....   "Our new...For Life campaign..\..invites readers to weigh the importance of certain business situations - like the demands of merging multiple databases - against the desire for a 40-hour workweek and other 'real-life [out]side of work' situations."...
    [Hey at least they're talking about limiting the work-spread of small businesses to 40 hours a week.]

  2. [here's a development that might make it easier for timesizing -]
    Group health insurance offered to freelancers - A new focus on overlooked workers - Free-agent workers now make up almost a third of the work force nationally, by Stephanie Strom, NYT, A28.
    Sara Horowitz's nonprofit insurance organization, Working Today, provides health insurance for part-time, contract and temporary workers in New York. [photo caption]
    [Not exactly the most well[-omened name for a business serving free-lancers.]
    Working Today provides portable, affordable health insurance for freelance workers in New York.
    [It's the portability and the non-dependence on "full time" in terms of the 62-year-old 40-hour workweek that facilitates, e.g., trimming the workweek 10% for everyone instead of trimming 10% of the workforce. This would answer some of Juliet Schor's caveats about benefits in The Overworked American, p.145.]
    The concept would seem to be an easy sell, given the swelling ranks of part-time, contract and temporary workers across the country. But the organization...struggled since its inception to find financing to stay afloat long enough to stand on its own two feet....
    Then, the September 11 Fund, the 2nd-largest pool of philanthropic money raised to help victims of the disaster (after the Red Cross) faced a vexing problem that only Working Today could solve: how to provide a year's worth of health insurance to 15,000 people who are linked only by the effects of the attack. Suddenly, Working Today looks poised to be a model for delivering health insurance and other benefits in a new way, one better suited to today's mobile, more fluid workforce, which is exactly what Ms. Horowitz, winner of a MacArthur "genius" award in 1999, had hoped when she cooked it up....
    [She got a MacArthur award and was still struggling???]

  3. [You know something has fundamentally shifted when people are withholding work in order to get more work, and it's happening more and more often. Here's a current example -]
    Massachusetts: Janitors strike, by Katherine Zezima, NYT, A22.
    Thousands of janitors picketed outside area office buildings on the first full day of a strike for higher wages, full-time work and health benefits.
    [Little do they know that the only sustainable solution to their grievances is to redefine "full time" on an automatically, flexibly adjusting basis a la timesizing.]
    Talks between the union, Local 254 of the Service Employees International Union, and a cleaning contractor broke down after only two hours. The union, which represents more than 10,000 janitors, is demanding that many of the workers' part-time shifts be converted to full-time jobs with health insurance.
    [How a propos of our preceding article! But this is the reverse of timesizing = sharing the vanishing work. This is consolidating the vanishing work, and that of course entails downsizing -]
    A spokesman for the Maintenance Contractors of New England said that the switch to full-time work would mean that thousands of janitors would lose their jobs as the work was consolidated.
    [And that, of course, would mean thousands of desperate janitor wannabe's willing to do your janitorial job for less, thereby driving down your bargaining power and wages and benefits, including health insurance, even more. And indeed, according to a more recent article, this is already happening even without this near-sighted union winning its demand and thereby shooting itself in the foot -]
    Replacement janitors faced with hard choices - 'They have their rights, and we have our necessities' - Mario Melendez, replacement worker, by Abel & Bombardieri, 10/04/2002 Boston Globe, A1.
    ...Their desperation, they say, has driven them to...prepare to do something they don't want to do, but feel compelled to: cross a picket line with scores of others and betray thousands of their fellow Central American immigrants, on strike since early this week.... Melendez [is] trying to support his wife and 2 children back in El Salvador. "I don't have money to eat," said [Maria] Lopez...who sees the strike by Boston-area janitors as an opportunity. "If I unite with them, are they going to give me money? Are they going to feed me? This is our stomachs demanding our help!"
    The dire need for [rigid 40-hour workweek full-time] jobs among the area's growing number of impoverished residents, many of them Latino immigrants who see $10 an hour as a good wage, has made it easier for contractors such as Unicco Service Co. to fulfill threats to replace striking janitors....
    [The solution is so obvious - share the vanishing work among all jobseekers, and "incidentally," enforce our immigration laws so we have some control over the framework of this shift. Look at what our lame immigration situation has resulted in so far -]
    ..\..Cousins Maria Lopez and Mario Melendez don't speak a word of English, although they have lived in East Boston for two years....
    [Unskilled is one thing, but not speaking a word of the language of the nation you're moving to is a lot more serious. And they've already been here two years?! And why are we admitting people who don't speak a word of our language in the first place? Do we need immigrants that badly? If so, why aren't we taking care to teach them English when they get here? Why aren't we guiding them to the thousands of well-paying jobs for unskilled people that we need them so badly for? The lack of answers for these questions demonstrate that, in yet another area, we are shoving ourselves down into the Third World as fast as we can. How should immigration policy be decided? It is clearly so hot a potato that it can only be decided in one way - public referendum.]

10/01/2002  primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -


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