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Timesizing News, October 11-20, 2002
[Commentary] ©2002 Phil Hyde, Timesizing.com, Box 622, Porter Sq, Cambridge MA 02140 USA 617-623-8080


10/20/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -

  1. Unequal pay at United Airlines, letter to editor by James d. Fine of Manhattan, NYT, 3:10.
    Re "United Air's family is anything but" (Oct. 6), which examined the disagreements among employee groups at United Airlines:
    I'm slightly perplexed regarding pilots' compensation at United. The article said the most senior pilots make more than $300,000 a year for 80 hours of work a month....
    [Hey, maybe UAL pilots are way ahead of us. That's 80/4= a 20-hour workweek! But this spoilsport goes on to cast aspersions on their futurism -]
    To defend their high pay, pilots cite the long stretches of time they must spend away from home, as well as the demands of their jobs. No wonder United is heading toward bankruptcy....

  2. Guards at nuclear plants feel swamped by overtime deluge in the wake of 9/11 - 12-hour shifts and 6-day weeks are said to be leading to errors - Rules requiring more guards to be on duty have resulted in greater workloads, by Matthew Wald, NYT, A25.
    [huh?]
    COVERT, Mich. [aptly named!]...- To increase security after 9/11, the Palisades nuclear plant here, like [nukes] around the country, sharply increased the number of guards on duty.
    [Apparently this means merely "increased the guards on duty at any one time," not "increased the number of guards available for duty," because the next sentence says -]
    To do so, it put the [existing] guards on 12-hour shifts instead of 8, often six days a week instead of five.
    [We'll assume they at least got overtime pay. But here are some smart employees who don't want the pay - they want the safety of being better rested and less error-prone -]
    The guards are still on that schedule, and they say it has made them tired, error-prone and cranky. But if they complain, they say, they are threatened with the loss of their jobs or sent for psychiatric evaluation....
    [Oh that's one we haven't heard for awhile. You want work-life balance in America so you must be nuts. Hey, this is just what we want, right? - overtired nuclear plant workers. We'd probably be safer if they dropped the so-called security measures.]
10/19/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -
nothing current on this slow newsday, so from the late arrivals, this doozy, thanks to Scott Thibodo of Calif. - 10/18/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - 10/17/2002  primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - nothing impressive today but a solid item showed up late - 10/16/2002  primitive timesizing & timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -
  1. Russia: Carmaker suspends production, by Sabrina Tavernise, NYT, W1.
    Russia's biggest carmaker, Avtovaz, [will] temporarily stop car production after a sudden rise in the number of imported foreign cars created a glut in the market. Avtovaz will close its plants from Oct. 26 to Nov. 9, a break that Vladimir Savov, an analyst at the Brunswick UBS Warburg investment bank in Moscow, estimated would erase about $2.5m in profits from the company's books by year-end. The Russian government recently increased import duties on foreign cars older than 7 years, which are the main competitors for new Russian cars.
    [Timesizing, not downsizing. Note also the probable but fuzzier additional case today in "Plant shutdowns at Osteotech reduced its earnings," Bloomberg via NYT, C4, which refers to "a shutdown of some processing" and states, "Processing at Osteotech's Eatontown NJ plant will resume by the end of the month."]

  2. Work week: ...Calling in - Personal issues trump the workday for more employees, by Carlos Tejada, WSJ, B14.
    The share of employees missing work for personal reasons has risen this year to 21%, compared with 11% for the year before, according to a survey conducted by CCH Inc., an HR information concern. The survey, which polled 333 HR executives on unscheduled absences, cited a shift in the priorities of workers over the past year.
    Total absenteeism was unchanged at about 2%.
    [This requires explanation but none is given. The question is, if "personal" absenteeism is up, what category is down?]
    Companies with good morale had an average absentee rate of 1.9%, compared with 2.4% for those with fair or poor morale..
    [This development reminds us of how the angry white men who run this cosmetic democracy "reformed" welfare and phased out traditional pensions, so more people simply went on disability. Here they retained the 1940 workweek long beyond its useful lifetime and so people are simply phoning in "sick" or claiming personal emergencies. Shorter workweeks usually reduce employee absenteeism. The source press release for this squib is -]
    CCH finds employee absenteeism costs companies more than ever - Sick time used more for personal and family needs than illness, PRNewswire 10/16/2002 09:01 EDT via AOLNews.
    [Carlos must have got an early release.]

  3. Timesizing, not downsizing, op ed by Sean Gonsalves, 10/15/2002 Seattle Post-Intelligencer, B5.
    [Nine months to the day after Carlos Tejada (see item above) put Phil Hyde on the front page of the Wall Street Journal, Sean has put Phil on the op ed page of the "Seattle P-I" and the Cape Cod Times. Thanks to Seattle's John de Graaf for telling Sean about Phil.]
    Right before your very eyes,
    [The magician prepares his demonstration....]
    I will show you why the liberal-conservative/left-right political analysis (routinely regurgitated on TV pundit shows and during talk radio spleen-venting sessions) is a played-out, obscuring dogma.
    [We need more common phrases in English for "dichotomy" and "ultimatum" and "twixt Scylla and Charybdis." Maybe "dilemma" or "Catch 22." What about "damned if you do and damned if you don't" or "between a rock and a hard place"?]
    At the same time, you will also see an idea emerge that just might prove useful in these economic times.
    By "these economic times," I'm speaking of the troubling circumstances at the heart of military conflict all over the planet - this process that we misleadingly refer to as "globalization" and its discontents.
    [Amen.]
    By "these economic times," I mean to highlight the increase in (relative) poverty being reported across America, the longer lines forming at food pantries, the upsurge in homelessness, the jump in unemployment, and the rising tide of uncertainty that has smashed holes in financial [life] boats amid waves of Enron "ethics" and downsizing (to say nothing of the 1 billion people in the so-called Third World who live on less than $2 a day).
    If it were not for all the war-drumming going on, King George [W.] and his laissez-faire capitalist comrades would have a lot of explaining to do and we'd all be discussing possible remedies.
    [Nice phrase, "capitalist comrades." It's getting to be a movement to attach old leftist/socialist/communist rhetoric to Dictator Dubya and his ilk - a movement we applaud.]
    But I digress. Allow me to demonstrate why trying to size up society with a liberal-conservative/left-right analysis is like trying to "smash a triangle through a circle shape," in the words of the rap group Scienz of Life.
    [Quotes from rap groups are always good, and establish the quoter firmly in a world of relevance.]
    Enter Philip Hyde (see www.timesizing.com), who ran as an independent Republican against Joe Kennedy in 1996 and 1998 and then in 2000 against Sen. Edward Kennedy.
    With an academic background in ancient history, linguistics and economic history, Hyde, a former technical writer, describes himself as an "economic designer and news commentator" living on his [rapidly shrinking] pension funds.
    "You're never going to win against a Kennedy," he told me last week. "The main purpose was to get this issue of timesizing out there."
    What's timesizing? "It's trimming the work week; not the work force;" re-defining full-time work by having work-hours "vary inversely with the unemployment rate, comprehensively defined," he explained.
    Hyde is actually continuing a long-time GOP tradition that began in 1863 when Lincoln banned unlimited work weeks with the abolition of slavery. In 1868, a Republican-controlled Congress fought economic depression by cutting the federal government work week to 48 hours.
    In 1903, Teddy Roosevelt cut the mining industry work week to 54 hours. In 1907, he cut the railroad industry work week to 96 hours, and the following year he implemented a federal 48-hour work week.
    In 1912, TR's Progressive Party advocated a 40-hour work week. In 1922, President Harding, with the help of his Secretary of Commerce Herbert Hoover, cut the work week of the last industry hold-out - Big Steel - from 84 to 48 hours.
    In 1932, President Hoover averted mass layoffs by scaling back the federal government work week from 44 hours to a 40-hour work week, calling it the fastest and most efficient way to create jobs.
    That gave momentum to legislation calling for a 30-hour work week, known as the Black bill. The bill was introduced by the conservative Alabama Democratic Sen. Hugo Black in December 1932 [and passed in the Senate on April 6 the next year by a vote of 53 to 30].
    FDR called it "socialism" and tied it up in House committee, where it emerged five years later as the Fair Labor Standards Act, minus all of the 30-hour work week provisions.
    Despite Nixon's 1956 forgotten promise to bring every American a 32-hour work week, since World War II, we've been stuck with the same work week ever since, even though there's been a tremendous increase in labor productivity.
    So Hyde calls for "timesizing," not downsizing. "If we can't set things up so that our incredible technology provides shorter work weeks for us, what the heck good is it? Are we going to go through the 21st century with more and more efficient technology and less and less time for our families and communities?
    "We don't need government job creation. We just need to spread the private-sector work - and skills - to include everyone. It doesn't matter how much money a country has, if 99% of it is owned by 1% of the population, you have one miserable dirt-poor Third-World situation with a tiny fraction of the economic dynamism it could have.
    "Executives, CEOs - let's give this a chance. Let's stop starving our own potentially gigantic customer base of time and money. Let's reinvest in our employees. Concentrating the profits in your own pay and perks does not count as reinvestment."
    Is this liberal, conservative, left or right? Hyde quotes shorter workweek researcher Anders Hayden: "It's not left or right but out in front."
    More on this idea in next week's column.
    Sean Gonsalves is a Cape Cod Times staff writer and a syndicated columnist. His column runs on Tuesdays. Call him at 508-775-1200, ext. 719, or e-mail him at sgonsalves@capecodonline.com.
    [This column also appeared today under the headline "Re-introducing Philip Hyde" in the Cape Cod Times on the East Coast.   "This guy's a good writer," said Colleague Kate.  Phil Hyde concurs. Here are two email responses to the Seattle P-I version that Sean received just a couple of hours after it hit the newstands out there -]

  4. Shorter hours coalition meeting in Boston, exclusive to Timesizing.com.
    A loose coalition of groups met in downtown Boston over Chinese food last night from 6 to 8 to hammer out ideas for a tighter coalition. Eight people with a rotating ninth.
    1. Jason from the Campaign for Contingent Workers recommended the network concept in preference to the coalition concept as a more organically expandable organization. He's going to have a sort of Boston Tea Party against a conventional association of temp agencies next week.
    2. Barbara Brandt of the Shorter Worktime Group announced she was going to organize Take Back Your Time Day in the Boston area, come hell or high water, and we could jump on or off or go whistle Dixie. The consensus of our meeting seemed to be to jump on and flog our own particular hobbyhorses en route.
    3. Several Wobblies were there - the meeting was ably chaired by Jon Bekken - except when several red herring got loose that seemed politically incorrect to catch and cage. Unfortunately the nursing reps who said they would come if they could, couldn't.
    4. Phil Hyde of Timesizing.com smiled benignly over the whole proceeding, with only one impassioned plea - to avoid stamping the undertaking with the exclusive IWW or even union label because it was a vital issue for investors (who are currently suctioning the spending power and markets away from their own investment targets) and CEOs (who are currently downsizing their customers' customers and deepening the recession).
    5. Terry Crystal of the Greens chipped in frequently.
    6. Wobbly Pablito was the one with the biggest burr against the word "coalition" under his saddle.
    7. Steve (Hillman?) quietly represented a union.
    8. Matt (Kameker? IWW?) sat in the blind spot directly across from Phil.
    9. One lady (Laurie Taymore-Berry) left early, looking dark, but was replaced by a self-elected representative of the homeless and "freelance union organizer." If the latter person had trundled in earlier, we would have had a minyan.
    Barbrandt, Phillide & Ms. Crystal left together for the looong journey back to Cambridge and Somerville on the subway. They ejected one at a time at three stations in a row. Terry got off at Harvard Sq, Phil excused himself at Porter Sq, and Barbara disappeared at Davis Sq., thus covering Cambridge, Somerville and the borderlands between.

10/15/2002  primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -
    1. Companies cut costs where it hurts: employee pay, by Kemba Dunham & Kris Maher, WSJ, B1.
      ...Agilent Technologies Inc., a Palo Alto, Calif., high-tech company, cut pay across-the-board in May 2001, and after restoring salaries for many workers in November of last year, again temporarily reduced pay for some in December. Starting Feb. 1, 2002, the rest of Agilent's white-collar work force had to take a 5% temporary pay cut while U.S. hourly workers were required to take off one day a month without pay.
      [This is a case of matching paycuts and hourscuts a la timesizing not downsizing. But it illustrates a difficulty. The "salary" concept, that supposed "blank check on your life," seems to be being used to avoid explicit hourscuts by some companies because this article mentions wage workers with a paycut and matching worktime cut, but not salaried workers. Hopefully salaried employees are taking the time off anyway - after all, there IS generally less demand for their services in a depression.]
      That round of rollbacks ended in August. "Everyone is back on full salary," says Amy Flores, an Agilent spokeswoman.
      [Agilent is lucky.]
      As far as Ms. Flores knows, staff turnover didn't increase when salaries were reduced. "My guess is that nobody had anyplace else to go," she suggests. "People figured, 'At least I have a job.'" Agilent has no plans for additional salary cuts, she adds.

    2. Caterpillar plans to furlough up to 3,270 employees, AP via NYT, C5.
      ...A leading maker of heavy-duty diesel engines announced plans yesterday to furlough...workers in December at 5 plants because of slow demand. The furloughs should last one to two weeks a Caterpillar spokesman, Kelly Wojda, said, and would include managers, manufacturing employees and salaried workers.
      [We'll give them the benefit of the doubt since some managers are included, and regard these as a real, predefined furloughs instead of undefined layoffs. We will assume, however, that these furloughs are without pay since none is mentioned.]
      ...They will be from Illinois plants in Mossville, Mapleton and Pontiac; and in Thomasville and Jefferson, Ga., she said. Caterpillar is based in Peoria, Ill.
      [Followup. Tomorrow's Journal article does not use the term furloughs, "Soft demand for truck engines to result in temporary layoffs," Dow Jones via WSJ, D4.]

    10/13-14/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope -

    1. 10/13   Working 9 to 5, give or take, by Macaulay Campbell, NYT, 3-9.
      Blame the boss's style, or perhaps the e-mail server that keeps crashing. Whatever the reason, American businesses are unproductive 38% of the time, losing the equivalent of 86 workdays this year, a new study says. The report, by Proudfoot Consulting, a management consulting company in Palm Beach, Fla., found American businesses second in productivity to those in Germany, which are unproductive [only] 37% of the time, losing the equivalent of 83 workdays. At the bottom of the list of seven countries were Britain and South Africa.
      Low productivity, the survey found, stemmed in part from poor planning and control be management and from weak morale. In America, morale problems became particularly troublesome, chewing up nearly 7 more days than they did the year before.
      [So American productivity declined from 2001 to 2002, counting fiscal years from Oct to Sept. And if 86 workdays are 38%, then we're basing this on a workyear of 226 days in the U.S. Check out our chart(s) of annual work and vacation, available on or from near the bottom of our vacation page (note additionally that all Australians start with 4 weeks' vacation each year). There are 8 charts accompanying the present article. Here are the first two -]
      Average work productivity level, by country, in 2002
      • Germany 63% productive...
      • United States 62%...
      • Austria 62%...
      • Australia 60%...
      • global average 59%...
      • France 57%...
      • Britain 51%...
      • South Africa 46%...
      [Note that one nation with fewer workdays per year is ahead of the U.S., another is the same and another just below, and while one is just below the global average (France), two others far below that are also high in their number of workdays per year. The message seems to be that shorter worktime either benefits productivity or does not reduce it. The explanation for France's less stellar productivity may be that during the last half of fiscal 2002, France's 35-hour workweek has been under greater pressure from the right than previously, and increasing attempts to dilute this popular reform has probably dampened employee morale throughout the economy.]
      Reasons for 86 lost workdays in the U.S.
      • 31.0 days - poor planning and control
      • 21.5 days - inadequate management
      • 13.8 days - poor working morale
      • 7.7 days - information technology problems
      • 7.7 days - inefficient communication
      • 4.3 days - workers with wrong qualifications
      [The other 6 charts for some reaon provide -
      1. sales of painkillers
      2. new mortgage applications
      3. transportation costs
      4. personal bankruptcy filings
      5. online sales
      6. hotel occupancy rates

    2. [long workhours in the U.S. are playing a role in the demise of the small organic farmer -]
      10/14   Small organic farmers pull up stakes - Agriculture's rebels reject the new rules, op ed by Samuel Fromartz, NYT, A21.
      A curious thing happened on the way to a national organic standard: the small farmer, once at the heart of the organic movement, got left behind. Talk to those who have farmed organically for years and you will find a surprising number who have decided not to call their produce organic any longer. The costs - [mainly] administrative...- of using the government-defined label are too great.... At local farmers' markets around the country, you'll find many farmers who say their vegetables are "grown without chemicals" or that their meat is "free of antibiotics," but many won't use the "O" word.
      ...Even as the rules were refined, small organic farmers had trouble with the fine print. One farmer told me that an organic certifying agent inspecting his farm wanted to know the dates on which he had moved his crates of zucchini into the cooler the previous year and when he had sold them. "After farming for 12 hours a day, I am not going to spend two hours doing paperwork," he says. Considering that small farmers typically grow dozens of crops on small plots, the paperwork burden could potentially exceed that of a large organic farm growing one crop on hundreds of acres....
      [Workweek regulation applies to seasonal workers like farmers via "annualization" (averaging out across the whole year). But exhaustion can still be a factor during the long-hour days of the work season.]

    10/12/2002  primitive timesizing in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - there's a lot of actual timesizing going on - trimming hours, not jobs - but it's unreported -

    10/11/2002  timesizing consciousness in the news, aka glimmers of strategic hope - here's a little bit of the plentiful actual timesizing that's going on - trimming hours, not jobs - that got reported for a totally different reason -

    1. Judges Give Pay to Court Employees, AP 10/10/02 13:22 EDT via AOLNews.
      DENVER - Twenty Denver judges are donating part of their salary to bailiffs, clerks and other court employees who have been ordered to take three days off without pay to help ease a state budget crisis.... Court workers across the state are being forced to take the time off without pay to help balance the budget.... All state departments must cut their budget by 4% to help offset the state's estimated $608 million shortfall in this year's $13.8 billion budget....
      [Cutting worktime instead of workforce = timesizing.]
      The court system's mid-range salary is about $32,000 a year, with an entry level clerk earning $23,500. District judges earn $104,000 a year..\.. The order affects all employees except the judges, who are constitutionally protected from pay cuts..\..
      [But this story has some unusual icing on the cake -]
      Each judge is giving $600 toward a fund for the furloughed workers to show support for what they say are underpaid employees who keep an overloaded system running. Each worker will get $100 before the holidays. "We want to show that it's not just the little guys who should suffer when things go bad. The judges have every intention of sharing in the dilemma,'' Judge Robert Hyatt said....
      Linda Gibbs, Hyatt's judicial assistant, will lose $160 for each of the three days she will be on furlough. She has canceled a trip to a hot air balloon event. "This is something from their hearts,'' she said of the judges. "It gives us the idea that they understand what we do around here.''
      [Don't get too effusive, Linda. You're losing 160x3= $480, and you're only getting $100 back from these guys who are making three times what you are.]
      ..\..The Denver judges are not alone in their generosity. Judges in Colorado Springs have voted to donate about $400 each for their workers....
      On the Net: State Courts: *www.courts.state.co.us

    2. O'Neill - Longer work week points to new U.S. hiring, Reuters 10/10/02 13:47 ET via AOLNews.
      WASHINGTON...- U.S. Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill said on Thursday the increase in the length of the average work week, shown in the September employment report, is often a precursor to new hiring.
      [Timesizing's Phase Two and Phase Three would guarantee that lengthening in the average workweek was a precursor to new hiring by lowering the level where overtime starts each week (ie: cutting the workweek) in response to unemployment, comprehensively defined, and making any overtime trigger training and hiring.]
      "It's a significant movement ... and what it tells you is businesses are asking the people who are already working to work longer hours," he said at a press briefing. "And that is generally a precursor to new hiring."
      [Duh, we get it by now, Paul.]
      The Labor Dept. said last Friday that the average U.S. workweek grew from 34.3 hours in September from 34.1 hours in August....


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